FNUS75 KPUB 120504
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK FOREST FIRE...EL PASO COUNTY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1104 PM MDT TUE JUN 11 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS PASSING THROUGH THE REGION.  THE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH DURING THE NIGHT...AND THE WIND
SPEEDS WILL DECREASE. WINDS MAY TURN NORTHERLY AN HOUR OR
TWO LATER THAN SUGGESTED BY EARLIER SPOTS. THE AIR MASS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL REMAIN DRY...AND THERE WILL BE POOR RH RECOVERY
OVERNIGHT.

ON WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT DURING THE MORNING...AND THE
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON
WEDNESDAY


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 12-16 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
                    5 TO 10 MPH BY 0400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH
                    12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14500 FT AGL AFTER
                    0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH AROUND 18
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLYN
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130611.BLACK.05/PUB