FNUS75 KBOU 130126 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 726 PM MDT WED JUN 12 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1817 MDT ON JUNE 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSPORT MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AND PRODUCE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING IN THE FIRE AREA. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING...EXCEPT OVER THE HIGHER EXPOSED RIDGETOPS WHERE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE. THE WINDS AND CLOUD COVER WILL PRODUCE VERY MILD TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT AND POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY. SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS SHOULD BE SHALLOW AND WEAK OVERNIGHT. ON THURSDAY...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AGAIN THROUGH THE MORNING WITH INTERMITTENT CLOUD COVER. IN THE AFTERNOON ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THESE STORMS SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY PRODUCING MAINLY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE AVERAGE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........46-51%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-77. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 5000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 8800 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 12800-13800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 15800-16800 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 14000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 11500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOW. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/12-19 54 0 0 64 13 SW 14 22 4 1 WSW 39 7593 WSW 21 166994 E 06/12-20 54 0 0 60 17 SSW 9 9 4 1 WSW 38 4187 W 16 87200 G 06/12-21 54 0 0 57 21 S 6 6 4 1 WSW 36 782 W 10 7406 P 06/12-22 54 0 0 55 25 SE 7 7 4 1 SW 35 654 W 8 5246 P 06/12-23 54 0 0 55 27 ESE 8 8 4 1 SW 32 526 WSW 6 3087 P 06/13-00 51 0 0 54 32 E 13 13 4 1 SW 31 398 WSW 2 928 P 06/13-01 51 0 0 52 48 E 15 24 4 1 SW 32 389 WSW 5 1358 P 06/13-02 51 0 0 50 54 ESE 10 10 4 1 WSW 32 379 WSW 6 1788 P 06/13-03 38 0 0 49 54 SE 7 7 4 1 WSW 33 370 WSW 7 2218 P 06/13-04 38 0 0 50 42 S 6 6 4 1 WSW 38 671 WSW 10 7369 P 06/13-05 38 0 0 51 32 SSW 7 7 3 1 WSW 44 973 WSW 13 12521 P 06/13-06 38 1 0 53 25 SW 8 8 3 1 WSW 48 1274 WSW 16 17672 P 06/13-07 38 1 0 55 22 WSW 12 12 3 1 WSW 52 5043 WSW 22 136590 V 06/13-08 38 1 0 56 20 SW 14 22 3 1 WSW 54 8813 WSW 28 255508 E 06/13-09 44 1 0 58 21 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 58 12582 WSW 35 374426 E 06/13-10 44 1 0 60 21 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 59 14006 WSW 37 446708 E 06/13-11 44 1 0 62 20 SW 18 30 3 1 WSW 59 15429 WSW 38 518990 E 06/13-12 54 19 4 64 20 SW 18 30 3 3 SW 60 16852 WSW 40 591272 E 06/13-13 54 19 4 65 20 SW 20 31 3 3 SW 59 16756 SW 39 570535 E 06/13-14 60 19 4 66 20 SW 20 31 3 3 SW 58 16660 SW 38 549798 E 06/13-15 60 19 4 66 21 SW 20 31 3 3 SW 58 16564 SW 37 529061 E 06/13-16 63 19 4 66 22 SW 18 29 3 3 SW 58 14019 SW 35 428896 E 06/13-17 63 19 4 65 24 SW 17 26 3 3 SW 56 11473 SW 32 328731 E 06/13-18 50 10 2 55 35 SW 16 25 3 2 WSW 56 8928 SW 30 228566 E 06/13-19 50 10 2 51 35 SW 15 23 3 2 WSW 56 6779 SW 28 170167 E 06/13-20 50 10 2 48 42 SW 14 21 3 2 WSW 58 4631 SW 26 111769 V 06/13-21 48 10 2 46 47 SW 13 21 3 2 WSW 58 2482 SW 24 53371 F 06/13-22 48 10 2 44 51 SW 13 21 3 2 WSW 58 1895 SW 24 40558 F 06/13-23 48 10 2 42 54 SW 14 22 3 2 WSW 56 1308 SW 24 27744 P 06/14-00 31 0 0 42 53 SW 15 24 3 1 WSW 56 720 SW 24 14931 P 06/14-01 31 0 0 42 52 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 59 633 WSW 24 13107 P 06/14-02 31 0 0 42 51 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 61 545 WSW 24 11283 P 06/14-03 31 0 0 42 51 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 63 457 WSW 24 9460 P 06/14-04 31 0 0 40 54 WSW 16 26 3 1 WSW 62 501 WSW 23 9759 P 06/14-05 31 0 0 39 56 WSW 17 26 2 1 WSW 60 546 WSW 22 10059 P 06/14-06 27 0 0 40 52 WSW 17 28 2 1 WSW 59 590 W 21 10358 P 06/14-07 27 0 0 44 44 WSW 17 29 3 1 WSW 54 3496 WSW 28 119616 V 06/14-08 27 0 0 50 34 WSW 18 29 3 1 SW 49 6403 WSW 35 228875 E 06/14-09 27 0 0 56 26 WSW 18 30 4 1 SW 46 9309 WSW 41 338134 E 06/14-10 27 0 0 59 23 WSW 18 30 4 1 SW 45 11340 WSW 39 373126 E 06/14-11 27 0 0 61 21 WSW 18 30 5 1 SW 45 13372 WSW 36 408119 E 06/14-12 37 7 1 62 20 WSW 18 30 5 1 WSW 45 15404 WSW 33 443112 E 06/14-13 37 7 1 63 19 WSW 20 31 4 1 SW 44 16715 WSW 32 457988 E 06/14-14 37 7 1 64 18 WSW 20 31 4 1 SW 43 18026 WSW 30 472864 E 06/14-15 37 7 1 64 18 WSW 20 31 3 1 SW 41 19337 SW 29 487740 E 06/14-16 37 7 1 62 20 WSW 18 29 3 1 SW 40 17261 SW 25 398769 E 06/14-17 37 7 1 59 22 WSW 15 24 3 1 SW 38 15184 SW 23 309798 E 06/14-18 31 6 1 56 24 W 13 21 3 1 SW 37 13108 SW 20 220827 E 06/14-19 31 6 1 53 27 W 10 16 3 1 SW 37 9578 SW 16 153180 E 06/14-20 31 6 1 50 31 W 8 13 3 1 SW 37 6049 S 12 85534 G 06/14-21 31 6 1 47 35 W 6 6 3 1 SW 37 2520 S 8 17887 P 06/14-22 31 6 1 45 39 W 3 3 3 1 SW 37 2654 S 9 22531 P 06/14-23 31 6 1 44 41 CALM 1 3 1 SW 37 2788 SE 12 27175 P 06/15-00 15 2 0 43 43 CALM 0 3 1 SW 37 2922 SE 13 31819 P 06/15-01 15 2 0 43 43 CALM 0 3 1 SW 37 2480 SE 10 24620 P 06/15-02 15 2 0 43 42 CALM 1 3 1 SW 36 2038 SSE 9 17421 P 06/15-03 15 2 0 42 43 NW 2 2 3 1 SW 36 1595 S 7 10222 P 06/15-04 15 2 0 40 46 WNW 3 3 3 1 WSW 36 1331 S 8 8650 P 06/15-05 15 2 0 39 47 WSW 5 5 4 1 WSW 37 1066 S 8 7079 P 06/15-06 11 1 0 40 44 SSW 6 6 4 1 WSW 37 802 SSW 8 5507 P 06/15-07 11 1 0 44 37 SSW 8 13 4 1 WSW 38 5207 SSW 14 113354 V 06/15-08 11 1 0 50 29 SW 10 17 4 1 WSW 40 9613 WSW 21 221201 E 06/15-09 11 1 0 56 23 SW 13 21 4 1 WSW 41 14018 WSW 26 329048 E 06/15-10 11 1 0 59 21 SW 14 21 4 1 WSW 38 15082 WSW 26 353785 E 06/15-11 11 1 0 60 20 WSW 13 21 3 1 WSW 35 16146 WSW 26 378522 E 06/15-12 42 17 3 61 19 WSW 13 21 3 3 WSW 31 17210 WSW 26 403259 E 06/15-13 42 17 3 62 18 WSW 13 20 3 3 WSW 30 18140 WSW 26 411681 E 06/15-14 42 17 3 64 17 WSW 12 20 4 3 WSW 29 19070 WSW 25 420102 E 06/15-15 42 17 3 64 17 WSW 12 18 4 3 WSW 28 20000 WSW 24 428523 E 06/15-16 42 17 3 63 18 WSW 12 18 4 3 WSW 28 18423 WSW 23 370634 E 06/15-17 42 17 3 61 19 W 10 17 4 3 WSW 28 16846 WSW 21 312744 E 06/15-18 37 12 2 58 22 W 10 16 4 2 WSW 28 15269 WSW 20 254855 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MOLINARI TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130612.BIGME.01/BOU