FNUS75 KBOU 121853 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR PLUM CREEK...PIDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1253 PM MDT WED JUN 12 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1223 MDT ON JUNE 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS MORNING FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT LAST EVENING...WILL BE REPLACED BY WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF GUSTY SOUTH- SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. THESE GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE FIRE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 2 HOURS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO JUMP SEVERAL DEGREES AND RH VALUES TO LOWER INTO THE 5 TO 12 PERCENT RANGE. SHELTERED VALLEY AREAS...HOWEVER...COULD SEE A CONTINUATION OF LIGHT UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY BREEZES FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS. BETWEEN 5 PM AND 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DIMINISH WITH THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A TYPICAL DRAINAGE WIND PATTERN. ANTICIPATE POOR RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT UNDER INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. ON THURSDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE FIRE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WIND AND DRY LIGHTENING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE HIGH BASED STORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79-84. MIN HUMIDITY........6-12%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......18600-19600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49-54. MAX HUMIDITY........28-34%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY. MIXING HEIGHT.......17200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PLUM CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/12-12 29 0 0 78 11 S 12 17 4 1 WSW 45 20000 SW 17 309142 E 06/12-13 29 0 0 79 10 S 13 20 4 1 WSW 43 20000 SW 18 322596 E 06/12-14 37 0 0 79 10 S 14 21 4 1 WSW 39 20000 SW 20 336049 E 06/12-15 43 8 2 78 10 S 14 21 4 1 WSW 37 20000 SW 20 349503 E 06/12-16 52 8 2 77 10 S 14 21 4 1 WSW 33 19069 SW 21 334168 E 06/12-17 52 8 2 76 11 S 14 21 5 1 WSW 29 18138 SW 21 318834 E 06/12-18 53 8 2 74 11 S 14 21 5 1 WSW 25 17208 SSW 21 303500 E 06/12-19 53 8 2 71 13 S 13 20 5 1 WSW 25 15609 SSW 21 283013 E 06/12-20 53 8 2 68 16 S 13 18 5 1 WSW 24 14011 SSW 22 262526 E 06/12-21 38 6 1 65 19 S 12 17 5 1 WSW 24 12412 SSW 22 242039 E 06/12-22 38 6 1 63 22 S 10 16 5 1 WSW 23 9510 S 25 196036 E 06/12-23 38 6 1 62 24 S 10 15 4 1 WSW 22 6608 S 29 150033 E 06/13-00 36 0 0 61 25 S 9 14 4 1 WSW 21 3706 SSE 32 104030 V 06/13-01 36 0 0 60 26 S 8 8 4 1 WSW 23 2885 S 28 75314 G 06/13-02 36 0 0 59 26 SSW 8 8 5 1 WSW 26 2064 SSW 22 46598 F 06/13-03 33 0 0 57 28 SSW 8 8 5 1 WSW 30 1243 SSW 16 17882 P 06/13-04 33 0 0 55 32 SSW 8 8 5 1 WSW 31 1014 SW 16 14355 P 06/13-05 33 0 0 54 35 SW 9 9 4 1 SW 32 784 WSW 16 10828 P 06/13-06 27 0 0 55 35 WSW 9 14 4 1 SW 32 554 WSW 15 7301 P 06/13-07 27 0 0 59 29 WSW 9 15 4 1 SW 32 3925 WSW 15 70793 G 06/13-08 27 0 0 65 22 SW 10 15 5 1 WSW 31 7295 WSW 15 134284 V 06/13-09 27 0 0 70 18 SW 10 16 5 1 WSW 30 10665 WSW 15 197775 E 06/13-10 27 0 0 74 15 SW 10 16 5 1 WSW 30 13777 SW 17 260544 E 06/13-11 27 0 0 76 14 SSW 10 17 5 1 SW 30 16888 SW 20 323313 E 06/13-12 50 17 3 78 13 SSW 12 18 5 3 SW 30 20000 SW 22 386081 E 06/13-13 50 17 3 78 14 SSW 14 22 5 3 SW 30 19326 SW 21 350405 E 06/13-14 50 17 3 78 14 S 15 24 4 3 SW 29 18651 SW 18 314729 E 06/13-15 50 17 3 78 15 S 16 25 4 3 SW 28 17977 SW 17 279053 E 06/13-16 50 17 3 77 16 SSW 15 23 4 3 SW 28 17302 SSW 16 243377 E 06/13-17 50 17 3 76 18 SSW 13 20 3 3 WSW 26 16628 SSW 14 207701 E 06/13-18 40 10 2 74 20 SW 10 16 3 2 WSW 26 15953 SSW 13 172025 E 06/13-19 40 10 2 71 22 SSW 10 17 3 2 WSW 26 13754 SSW 14 151590 E 06/13-20 40 10 2 67 24 SSW 12 18 3 2 WSW 28 11554 SSW 15 131155 V 06/13-21 40 10 2 64 27 SSW 13 21 4 2 WSW 28 9355 SSW 16 110720 V 06/13-22 40 10 2 62 29 SSW 14 21 4 2 WSW 28 7155 SSW 18 90286 G 06/13-23 40 10 2 61 31 SSW 14 22 4 2 WSW 29 4956 SSW 20 69851 G 06/14-00 23 0 0 60 33 SW 15 24 4 1 WSW 29 2756 S 21 49416 F 06/14-01 23 0 0 59 36 SW 17 26 4 1 WSW 30 2484 SSW 21 44158 F 06/14-02 23 0 0 57 40 WSW 18 30 4 1 SW 30 2212 SSW 20 38899 P 06/14-03 23 0 0 56 42 WSW 20 31 5 1 SW 31 1940 SW 20 33641 P 06/14-04 23 0 0 54 44 WSW 20 31 5 1 SW 31 1668 SW 20 28383 P 06/14-05 23 0 0 53 45 WSW 18 29 5 1 SSW 32 1396 WSW 18 23125 P 06/14-06 33 0 0 54 41 WSW 17 28 5 1 SSW 32 1124 WSW 18 17866 P 06/14-07 33 0 0 58 33 WSW 17 28 5 1 SSW 31 4270 WSW 18 65414 G 06/14-08 33 0 0 63 26 WSW 17 29 4 1 SW 30 7416 WSW 18 112961 V 06/14-09 33 0 0 68 20 WSW 17 28 4 1 SW 29 10562 WSW 18 160509 E 06/14-10 33 0 0 72 18 SW 15 24 4 1 SW 28 13708 WSW 17 208056 E 06/14-11 33 0 0 74 17 SW 13 21 3 1 SW 28 16854 SW 17 255603 E 06/14-12 43 10 2 75 17 SW 10 16 3 2 SW 26 20000 SW 17 303151 E 06/14-13 43 10 2 75 16 SW 9 15 3 2 WSW 26 19323 SW 16 278824 E 06/14-14 43 10 2 75 16 SW 8 14 3 2 WSW 28 18646 WSW 15 254497 E 06/14-15 43 10 2 75 16 SW 8 13 3 2 W 28 17968 WSW 15 230171 E 06/14-16 43 10 2 74 16 SSW 7 7 3 2 W 29 17291 WSW 14 205844 E 06/14-17 43 10 2 73 17 S 7 7 3 2 W 30 16614 WSW 13 181517 E 06/14-18 39 14 3 71 19 S 6 6 3 2 WNW 30 15937 WSW 12 157190 E 06/14-19 39 14 3 68 23 SE 5 5 3 2 W 30 13594 W 12 133743 V 06/14-20 39 14 3 65 27 NE 5 5 4 2 W 29 11252 W 10 110295 V 06/14-21 39 14 3 61 32 N 3 3 4 2 W 29 8909 WNW 10 86848 G 06/14-22 39 14 3 59 34 N 3 3 4 2 WSW 28 6567 NW 10 63400 G 06/14-23 39 14 3 56 38 N 3 3 5 2 WSW 28 4224 NNW 10 39952 P 06/15-00 23 2 0 55 38 NNW 3 3 5 1 WSW 28 1881 NNW 10 16505 P 06/15-01 23 2 0 54 40 NNW 5 5 5 1 WSW 28 1836 NNW 9 15426 P 06/15-02 23 2 0 53 42 NNW 5 5 5 1 WSW 28 1790 NNW 9 14347 P 06/15-03 23 2 0 51 46 NNW 6 6 5 1 WSW 29 1745 NNW 9 13269 P 06/15-04 23 2 0 49 51 NNW 7 7 4 1 WSW 29 1699 NNW 8 12190 P 06/15-05 23 2 0 48 54 NNW 7 7 4 1 WSW 29 1653 NNW 8 11112 P 06/15-06 19 3 1 49 52 NNW 7 7 4 1 WSW 29 1608 NNW 7 10033 P 06/15-07 19 3 1 52 45 NW 7 7 4 1 WSW 29 4417 NW 8 40930 F 06/15-08 19 3 1 58 34 W 7 7 4 1 WSW 29 7227 WNW 9 71827 G 06/15-09 19 3 1 63 26 WSW 6 6 4 1 WSW 29 10037 W 9 102724 V 06/15-10 19 3 1 67 22 SW 5 5 4 1 WSW 29 12846 W 10 133621 V 06/15-11 19 3 1 70 18 S 3 3 4 1 W 28 15656 WSW 12 164518 E 06/15-12 39 13 3 71 17 SSE 3 3 4 2 W 28 18465 WSW 13 195415 E 06/15-13 39 13 3 72 16 SSE 3 3 4 2 W 26 18279 SW 12 182415 E 06/15-14 39 13 3 72 16 SE 5 5 4 2 W 26 18093 SW 10 169415 E 06/15-15 39 13 3 72 16 SE 5 5 5 2 W 25 17907 SW 10 156415 E 06/15-16 39 13 3 71 18 SE 5 5 5 2 W 24 17721 SW 9 143414 V 06/15-17 39 13 3 70 19 ESE 6 6 5 2 W 24 17535 SSW 8 130414 V 06/15-18 43 11 2 69 21 ESE 6 6 5 2 W 23 17349 SSW 8 117414 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130612.PLUMC.01/BOU