FNUS73 KMQT 121013 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR RIFLE RANGE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 613 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DENSE FOG AT THE FIRE SITE WILL DIMINISH AFTER 0900. CLOUDS WILL THEN DIMINISH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE CLOUDS AND FOG ARE PARTIALLY DUE TO LAKE SUPERIOR AND THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT THEY WILL PERSIST LONGER THAN THIS FORECAST INDICATES. ONCE CLEARING OCCURS...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LOWER TO AROUND 45 PERCENT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH TODAY AND FOR MOST OF TONIGHT. THE ARRIVAL OF A SURFACE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN STRONGER NORTH WINDS BY DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SKIES MAY TURN MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR A WHILE...BEFORE SIGNIFICANT CLEARING OCCURS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT LEAST 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL END UP SIMILAR TO THIS AFTERNOON...IF NOT SLIGHTLY LOWER. DRY WEATHER WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH SATURDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. NOTE: HYSPLIT IMAGES HAVE BEEN EMAILED TO REQUESTING OFFICIAL. PLEASE CALL WITH ANY QUESTIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG THROUGH MID MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 11 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (81) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (504). MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3000-4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 8200-8400 FT AGL BY LATE AFTERNOON AND DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL TOWARD EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........90 66 51 45 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 69 74 76 73 RH..............70 55 48 43 47 GENERAL WIND....NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 GENERAL GUST.... 5 6 6 VINDX KT-FT/100.81 236 455 491 194 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 NW 7 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 4700 7600 8200 3200 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (3). MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 0-800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........36 42 46 47 54 56 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............70 61 53 49 45 46 RH..............54 68 81 87 100 100 GENERAL WIND....NW 6 NW 6 N 5 N 6 N 6 N 7 GENERAL GUST....7 7 7 8 8 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.57 3 29 38 40 22 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 13 NW 16 N 17 N 18 N 18 MIX HGT (FT)....800 BLW100 200 300 300 100 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 33 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (419) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (976) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (499) TOWARD EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3900 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3600-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON AND DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL TOWARD EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........54 55 55 54 43 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 58 64 66 66 66 RH..............90 74 60 53 47 44 GENERAL WIND....N 8 N 8 N 10 N 11 N 11 N 11 GENERAL GUST....15 15 21 23 23 22 VINDX KT-FT/100.38 259 625 976 1171 838 TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 N 20 N 23 N 25 N 26 N 26 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1500 3100 4400 5100 3600 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130612.RIFLE.01/MQT