FNUS75 KPUB 121204
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK FOREST FIRE...EL PASO COUNTY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
604 AM MDT WED JUN 12 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT NORTH WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SWITCH TO THE
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST BY MID-MORNING...THEN STRENGTHEN IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
VERY DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA...WITH HUMIDITY
IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE THIS MORNING FALLING TO
AROUND 10 PERCENT OR LESS BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AND SWITCH TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT...
WHILE RH RECOVERY WILL BE SLIGHTLY IMPROVED. ON THURSDAY...
STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL REDEVELOP BY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
AGAIN TO 30 MPH. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF WETTING
RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTH 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 18 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST AROUND 6
                    MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(26 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    NORTH 4-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTH 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 15000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSEN
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130612.BLACK.06/PUB