FNUS75 KPUB 121908
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK FOREST FIRE...EL PASO COUNTY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
108 PM MDT WED JUN 12 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

AT 1 PM...GENERALLY SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 30 MPH WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY. THE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FROM THIS DIRECTION AND SPEED THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.

LOOKING AT THE WIND FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER 1900...7 PM...AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHEAST...EAST...NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTH BY MIDNIGHT. SMOKE WILL
ONCE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE CITY OF COLORADO SPRINGS TONIGHT.

THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE IS NO LONGER SHOWING THE
THREAT OF ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE VICINITY
OF BLACK FOREST. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
THIS MAY HAPPEN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(34 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 18 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST AROUND 6
                    MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH AT 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 22 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 0300.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 10-14
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 15500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130612.BLACK.12/PUB