FNUS75 KPUB 122144
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK FOREST FIRE...EL PASO COUNTY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
344 PM MDT WED JUN 12 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TOMORROW FOR THE BLACK
FOREST FIRE.

AT 3 PM...GENERALLY SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY. A WIND
REPORT FROM THE CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN WEATHER STATION LOCATED AT 6600
FEET WAS REPORTING A WIND OF 44 MPH. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FROM THIS DIRECTION AND SPEED THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

LOOKING AT THE WIND FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER 1900...7 PM...AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHEAST...EAST...NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTH BY MIDNIGHT. SMOKE WILL
ONCE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE CITY OF COLORADO SPRINGS TONIGHT.

A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS COULD OCCUR THIS EVENING
IF VIRGA SHOWERS DEVELOP OVER TELLER COUNTY SENDING AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY.

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ONCE AGAIN BY LATE
MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY REGION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN WINDS GRADUALLY
                    DECREASING AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST...
                    THEN EAST THEN NORTHEAST THEN NORTH BY 11 PM.
                    WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH AT 3 TO 8 MPH
                    THROUGH SUNRISE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130612.BLACK.14/PUB