FNUS75 KPUB 121929
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROYAL GORGE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
129 PM MDT WED JUN 12 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE 20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW A DIURNAL PATTERN TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST THE REST OF TODAY AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
AFTER 2000...WINDS WILL DECREASE AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO A MORE DOWNSLOPE
WIND COMPONENT...WEST TO NORTHWEST...AT 4 TO 8 MPH BY 2300. THE WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN FROM THIS DIRECTION THROUGH SUNRISE.

ANY ISOLATED VIRGA SHOWERS WHICH DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING COULD CAUSE LOCALLY STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS. NO RAINFALL WILL
REACH THE GROUND.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW WHICH
WILL CAUSE STRONG AND ERRATIC SURFACE WINDS IN THE ROYAL GORGE AREA.



.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(39 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97F.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-8 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......17000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(27 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56F.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(29 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 17000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130612.ROYAL.02/PUB