FNUS75 KABQ 131333
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAROSO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
733 AM MDT THU JUN 13 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

NOTE...DUE TO LACK OF ON SITE OBSERVATION...FORECAST PARAMETERS BASED
ON CLOSEST RAWS SITES AVAILABLE WHICH MAY NOT BE VERY REPRESENTATIVE
OF ACTUAL CONDITIONS AT FIRE SITE. THUS FORECAST VERY APPROXIMATE.

DISCUSSION...
SOME MOISTURE INCREASE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS WILL BOOST CHANCE OF RATHER
HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...FAVORING THE AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS. ACTIVITY MORE DRY THAN WET TODAY AND AT LEAST A LITTLE
WETTER FRIDAY. SOME OF THESE HIGH BASED STORMS AND VIRGA SHOWERS
HAVE HAD HISTORY OF VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS PAST FEW DAYS AND THAT
SHOULD AGAIN BE THE CASE AT LEAST TODAY. FAIR TO GOOD RH RECOVERY
TONIGHT AND PERHAPS A LITTLE BETTER STILL FRIDAY NIGHT.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF MAINLY DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT FOR WETTING RAIN.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-78 FAR UPPER PART OF FIRE...87-92 LOWER
                       REACHES.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 18-24 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING
                       FROM SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST TO 8
                       TO 17 MPH AFTER 11 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 20 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/175000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/148790 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/175000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MORE DRY THAN
                       WET THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT FOR WETTING RAIN.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53-58.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 58-64 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH
                       DECREASING TO 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER 10 PM. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/161000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       BECOMING FAIR/48000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT FOR WETTING RAIN.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-75 HIGH UP...81-87 DOWN LOW.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 32-37 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 15 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/52500 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/46200 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/40000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...43

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130613.JAROS.01/ABQ