FNUS73 KMQT 130951 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR RIFLE RANGE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 551 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF HUDSON BAY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT NORTH WINDS TO INCREASE TODAY AT THE FIRE SITE...WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH AROUND 70 DEGREES WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY JUST SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AND NOT BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT UNTIL MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR FROST. UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON FRIDAY...EXPECT A MUCH DRIER DAY WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY. WINDS AT THE FIRE SITE WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO NORTH...BUT SHOULD STAY MAINLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. IN THE OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEKEND FOR THE RIFLE RANGE RX AREA...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AGAIN ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY FALLING INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SHOWERS COULD AFFECT THE FIRE SITE THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AND THE TROUGH CROSSES THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY BY 1000. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AGAIN AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 31 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (38) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (528) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (974) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (442) BY EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4600 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL BY EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........64 59 60 59 50 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 59 64 67 67 66 RH..............84 74 63 56 50 49 GENERAL WIND....N 7 N 7 N 10 N 12 N 12 N 10 GENERAL GUST....14 14 22 23 23 21 VINDX KT-FT/100.38 339 677 884 974 701 TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 N 18 N 21 N 23 N 25 N 26 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2100 3800 4400 4400 3000 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 86 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 19 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (26). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........22 12 8 4 6 7 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 56 49 45 40 39 RH..............51 58 68 72 84 86 GENERAL WIND....N 9 N 9 N 7 N 6 N 5 N 5 GENERAL GUST....16 VINDX KT-FT/100.220 70 41 43 26 46 TRANSPORT WIND..N 26 NE 26 NE 24 NE 20 NE 16 NE 14 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 300 200 300 200 400 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 22 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (476). MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4800 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL BY EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........9 8 8 7 10 13 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 57 63 68 68 66 RH..............60 43 31 22 23 27 GENERAL WIND....N 5 N 5 N 6 N 6 N 6 NW 7 GENERAL GUST.... 7 9 10 10 12 VINDX KT-FT/100.116 243 386 476 318 202 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 13 N 12 N 12 N 12 N 8 N 7 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2400 3900 4800 4500 3400 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130613.RIFLE.01/MQT