FNUS75 KGJT 142347
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WARD GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
547 PM MDT FRI JUN 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1727 MDT ON JUNE 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AROUND SUNSET TONIGHT. ON SATURDAY...MOISTURE
INCREASES JUST ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED HIGH-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HILLS SURROUNDING THE FIRE SITE. OUTFLOW WINDS
ARE THE MAIN THREAT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT A STRAY
LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE DRY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO WEST 10-15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 23 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CARATTINI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130614.WARDG.01/GJT