FNUS73 KMQT 141022
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEGA MULE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
622 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JUNE 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN SUNNY SKIES...WARM
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY AT THE FIRE SITE. LIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY WHILE BECOMING NORTHWEST
BY LATE MORNING. SINCE THE FIRE SITE IS CLOSER TO LAKE MICHIGAN...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL THAT WINDS MAY BECOME MORE WEST OR SOUTHWEST
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS THE LAKE BREEZE TRIES TO PUSH INLAND.
EXPECT CLEAR AND COOL CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERY
OVER 90 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES MAY FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S. CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
MOVING INTO MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE FIRE
SITE. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO DRAW UPON WILL RESULT IN
MINIMAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS LESS THAN 0.10 INCHES. THE CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS FOR
SUNDAY WILL MAINLY BE DRY. THE NEXT BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
NOT ARRIVE UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    WINDS MAY TRY TO TURN WEST OR EVEN SOUTHWEST
                    MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS LAKE BREEZE PUSHES
                    IN FROM LAKE MICHIGAN.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 13 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (156) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (183).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION AND TO 2100-3700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      9      12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     66     70     69
RH..............35     27     23     26
GENERAL WIND....N 6    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
GENERAL GUST....13     13     10     9
VINDX KT-FT/100.156    183    155    123
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6    N 6    N 6    NW 7
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   3700   3100   2100
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...JLA
REQUESTED BY...DAN LAUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130614.MEGAM.01/MQT