FNUS73 KMPX 151204 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LEIF MOUNTAINS...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 704 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JUNE 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-DAY...AND THEN DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY IN DIRECTION BY MID AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-51100). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............72 75 78 79 78 73 RH..............68 52 43 42 45 53 20 FT WIND......N 6 NW 8 NW 8 W 8 W 7 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-46200). .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-14200) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (115700-164700). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8200-9300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. $$ FORECASTER...SCHMIT REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130615.LEIFM.01/MPX