FNUS73 KMQT 151115 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR RIFLE RANGE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 715 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAD BEEN SET UP ACROSS THE RIFLE RANGE RX BURN WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTHEAST...AS LOW PRESSURE NEARS FROM SASKATCHEWAN. THIS CHANGE WILL RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY...BY ABOUT 5 DEGREES ON SLIGHTLY STRONGER SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS. A STEADY ROUND OF SHOWERS SET UP ACROSS WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WILL LIKELY DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE BEFORE MAKING IT TO THE FIRE. A SHARPER BOUNDARY STARTING TO BECOME MORE DEFINED JUST EAST OF DULUTH AT 0700 SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS WITH WETTING RAIN...OR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE BOUNDARY ITSELF IS NOT EXPECTED TO CROSS THE FIRE UNTIL CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT. DRY WEATHER SHOULD TEMPORARILY TAKE OVER AGAIN LATE TONIGHT...BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING ASSISTS IN POPPING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS TO OUR EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES IN ONCE AGAIN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (20) THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (619) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........34 41 44 43 54 69 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP............55 63 71 72 72 70 RH..............55 42 36 35 37 43 GENERAL WIND....SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 GENERAL GUST.... 11 16 16 14 VINDX KT-FT/100.20 94 294 558 619 508 TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 SW 9 SW 12 SW 14 SW 16 SW 21 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2900 4700 4400 2800 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 98 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 16 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (13). LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL 0300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0600...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........89 89 89 88 80 71 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP............65 59 55 55 55 55 RH..............56 76 92 96 97 98 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 5 S 4 SW 5 SW 5 W 4 GENERAL GUST.... VINDX KT-FT/100.176 46 27 25 25 18 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 20 W 15 W 12 W 12 W 13 MIX HGT (FT)....800 300 200 300 300 200 LAL.............2 3 3 3 2 1 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 76. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 19 TO 38 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (342) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (925) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1766) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (2349) LATE DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (1786) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (976) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...AND FURTHER INCREASING TO 6400-8100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........61 54 47 44 47 45 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............59 67 72 72 75 73 RH..............89 66 52 48 44 48 GENERAL WIND....W 6 W 6 W 7 NW 9 NW 8 NW 7 GENERAL GUST....9 9 14 19 17 13 VINDX KT-FT/100.30 175 612 1304 2257 1786 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 18 W 23 W 26 W 32 W 32 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 3100 5700 8100 6400 LAL.............1 1 1 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130615.RIFLE.01/MQT