FNUS73 KOAX 151039
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PANAMA ELEVATOR BURN...SHELBY COUNTY EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
539 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
80S WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 50S.  LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO
                    7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........64     72     79     79     72     66
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............68     74     77     79     80     80
RH..............90     80     73     69     65     63
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SW 6   W 6    W 5    S 2    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2 TO 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5000-6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JASON WICKIZER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130615.PANAM.01/OAX