FNUS75 KBOU 170243 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSALIE PEAK...PARK COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 843 PM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2041 MDT ON JUNE 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT SHOULD BE DRY OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING DOWN INTO THE MID 30'S. ON MONDAY THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. HIGHS WILL BE 55 TO 60. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........51%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 17-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400-10400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 4700-5700 FT AGL AFTER 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. FAIR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-19 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 17-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 9400 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 12400 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 15500-16500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 13600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIXING HEIGHT.......11600-12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 2300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 12300 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 16100 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 18700-19700 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 17000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROSALIE PEAK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/16-20 42 10 2 43 43 NW 7 7 3 2 W 28 10470 W 17 153934 E 06/16-21 42 10 2 41 46 NW 6 6 3 2 W 26 9253 W 16 129595 V 06/16-22 42 10 2 40 48 WNW 9 14 3 2 W 25 8189 W 15 110424 V 06/16-23 42 4 1 39 49 WSW 14 22 3 1 W 23 7124 W 15 91253 G 06/17-00 30 4 1 38 50 SSW 18 30 3 1 W 23 6060 WNW 14 72083 G 06/17-01 30 4 1 38 49 SSW 20 31 3 1 W 23 5571 W 13 61550 G 06/17-02 30 4 1 38 49 SW 20 31 3 1 W 24 5082 W 12 51016 F 06/17-03 20 4 1 37 50 SW 18 30 3 1 W 26 4593 W 10 40483 F 06/17-04 20 4 1 36 51 SW 18 29 3 1 W 26 5184 W 10 46968 F 06/17-05 20 4 1 36 50 SSW 18 29 3 1 W 28 5774 W 10 53453 F 06/17-06 20 4 1 37 48 SSW 17 28 3 1 W 28 6364 W 10 59937 F 06/17-07 20 4 1 41 41 SSW 16 25 3 1 W 29 9383 W 13 108666 V 06/17-08 20 4 1 45 35 SSW 14 23 3 1 W 29 12402 W 14 157395 E 06/17-09 33 4 1 49 30 SW 14 22 3 1 W 29 15420 W 15 206123 E 06/17-10 33 4 1 51 29 SW 16 25 3 1 W 29 16220 W 14 198760 E 06/17-11 33 4 1 51 30 SW 18 30 3 1 W 29 17020 W 13 191398 E 06/17-12 44 31 10 51 30 SW 21 33 3 4 W 29 17819 W 12 184035 E 06/17-13 50 31 10 51 31 WSW 21 32 3 4 W 29 17206 W 10 163077 E 06/17-14 56 31 10 51 32 WNW 20 31 3 4 W 28 16593 W 9 142120 V 06/17-15 67 31 10 50 33 NNW 18 30 3 4 W 26 15979 W 9 121162 V 06/17-16 67 31 10 49 33 NW 20 31 3 4 W 24 14814 W 8 104544 V 06/17-17 67 31 10 48 34 NW 20 32 3 4 W 23 13649 W 7 87925 G 06/17-18 68 31 10 47 35 NW 20 31 3 4 W 22 12484 W 7 71307 G 06/17-19 68 31 10 46 40 W 17 28 3 4 W 23 11590 WSW 6 56169 F 06/17-20 68 31 10 44 49 SSW 14 23 3 4 W 24 10695 S 5 41030 F 06/17-21 68 31 10 43 60 SSE 10 16 3 4 WSW 26 9801 SE 3 25892 P 06/17-22 68 31 10 42 65 S 8 14 3 4 WSW 25 9472 SSE 5 37983 P 06/17-23 68 31 10 41 68 S 8 13 3 4 W 23 9144 SSW 7 50073 F 06/18-00 56 7 1 41 67 S 8 13 3 1 W 22 8815 SW 8 62163 G 06/18-01 56 7 1 41 68 S 10 16 3 1 W 21 9157 SW 10 79304 G 06/18-02 56 7 1 41 68 S 13 20 3 1 W 21 9498 SW 12 96444 G 06/18-03 56 7 1 41 67 S 14 22 3 1 W 20 9839 SSW 14 113585 V 06/18-04 56 7 1 40 69 S 13 20 3 1 W 21 9359 SW 14 109807 V 06/18-05 56 7 1 39 69 SSW 10 17 3 1 W 22 8880 WSW 14 106030 V 06/18-06 52 6 1 40 65 SSW 9 15 3 1 W 22 8401 WSW 14 102253 V 06/18-07 52 6 1 45 52 SSW 10 17 3 1 W 22 12267 WSW 14 155807 E 06/18-08 52 6 1 51 41 SSW 14 22 3 1 W 21 16134 WSW 15 209361 E 06/18-09 52 6 1 56 33 SW 15 24 3 1 W 21 20000 W 15 262915 E 06/18-10 52 6 1 58 28 SW 14 22 3 1 W 22 20000 WSW 15 250369 E 06/18-11 52 6 1 58 27 SW 12 17 3 1 W 23 20000 WSW 14 237823 E 06/18-12 53 29 8 57 27 SW 9 15 3 4 W 24 20000 WSW 13 225276 E 06/18-13 53 29 8 57 28 SW 10 16 3 4 W 25 19883 SW 13 218663 E 06/18-14 53 29 8 57 30 SW 12 18 3 4 W 26 19765 SW 13 212049 E 06/18-15 53 29 8 57 31 SW 13 21 3 4 WSW 26 19648 SW 12 205436 E 06/18-16 53 29 8 56 31 SW 13 20 3 4 WSW 31 18320 SW 14 213373 E 06/18-17 53 29 8 54 32 WSW 12 17 3 4 W 35 16992 WSW 15 221310 E 06/18-18 57 40 18 53 32 WSW 10 16 3 4 W 38 15664 WSW 17 229248 E 06/18-19 57 40 18 51 37 WSW 10 17 3 4 W 38 14364 WSW 18 220809 E 06/18-20 57 40 18 48 46 WSW 12 18 3 4 W 39 13064 WSW 18 212371 E 06/18-21 57 40 18 46 53 WSW 13 21 3 4 W 40 11764 WSW 20 203933 E 06/18-22 57 40 18 44 59 WSW 13 21 3 4 W 38 10106 WSW 20 175408 E 06/18-23 57 40 18 43 60 SW 13 21 3 4 W 37 8448 WSW 20 146883 V 06/19-00 35 9 2 42 60 SW 13 21 3 1 W 35 6790 WSW 20 118358 V 06/19-01 35 9 2 42 56 SW 13 21 3 1 W 35 7164 WSW 22 135273 V 06/19-02 35 9 2 43 49 SW 13 20 4 1 W 33 7538 W 23 152187 E 06/19-03 35 9 2 42 47 SW 13 21 4 1 W 33 7912 W 24 169102 E 06/19-04 35 9 2 40 45 SW 13 21 4 1 W 32 6986 W 23 144497 V 06/19-05 35 9 2 39 42 SW 14 22 5 1 W 31 6060 WSW 22 119892 V 06/19-06 11 2 0 40 37 WSW 14 22 5 1 W 30 5135 WSW 22 95287 G 06/19-07 11 2 0 45 29 WSW 14 23 5 1 W 30 9764 WSW 23 210929 E 06/19-08 11 2 0 52 21 WSW 15 23 5 1 W 30 14393 WSW 25 326571 E 06/19-09 11 2 0 58 17 WSW 15 24 5 1 W 31 19022 WSW 26 442213 E 06/19-10 11 2 0 61 15 WSW 15 24 5 1 W 33 19348 WSW 26 451487 E 06/19-11 11 2 0 61 15 WSW 16 25 4 1 W 37 19674 WSW 26 460760 E 06/19-12 24 9 2 61 14 WSW 16 25 4 1 WSW 39 20000 WSW 28 470033 E 06/19-13 24 9 2 62 14 WSW 17 26 4 1 WSW 41 20000 WSW 28 480493 E 06/19-14 24 9 2 63 13 WSW 17 29 3 1 WSW 43 20000 WSW 29 490953 E 06/19-15 24 9 2 63 13 WSW 18 30 3 1 WSW 44 20000 WSW 29 501414 E 06/19-16 24 9 2 62 13 WSW 20 30 3 1 WSW 44 20000 WSW 29 499075 E 06/19-17 24 9 2 61 14 WSW 20 31 3 1 WSW 44 20000 WSW 29 496735 E 06/19-18 20 7 1 58 15 WSW 20 31 3 1 WSW 43 20000 WSW 29 494396 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BIRGETTE TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130616.MOUNT.02/BOU