FNUS74 KEPZ 161609
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MIMBRES...NM GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1009 AM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0921 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RAMP UP IN AFTERNOON SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...AS A SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCE MOVES
UP OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST.  THIS FEATURE IS
BRINGING UP SOME ADDITIONAL MOISTURE OVER SOUTHWEST NM AT THIS TIME
...WHICH WILL PROVIDE FUEL FOR THE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE WAVE MOVES EAST INTO THE HIGH PLAINS EARLY MONDAY MORNING...OPENING
THE BURN AREA UP TO REDUCED STORM CHANCES WITH A RETURN TO
WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRIER CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.


LOOK FOR MIN RH ROUGHLY 4-6 PERCENT HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY...AS A
RESULT OF THE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE BROUGHT UP BY THE SHORT WAVE.
HAINES INDICES OF 5 ARE EXPECTED TODAY...AND WILL CLIMB TO 6
STARTING MONDAY

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH THROUGH 1100L...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 6-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1900L...DECREASING
                    AND BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH AT RIDGE TOP BEFORE
                    MIDNIGHT.  LOCAL DRAINAGE'S DEVELOPING AFTER 2200L
                    ALONG CANYON BOTTOMS.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................O PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH IN THE MID AFTERNOON
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 19 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY  DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130616.MIMBR.01/EPZ