FNUS73 KMPX 161626 AAA
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ORDWAY PRAIRIE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1126 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATE OF EARLIER SPOT FORECAST TO LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE TO SEE BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS AND
HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE 20S. NOT CONFIDENT IN RAIN
CHANCES...AND EVEN IF WE GET SHOWERS/STORMS TO DEVELOP OUT NEAR
THE STATE LINE...THE BURN SITE WILL LIKELY STAY DRY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (110000) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (178800-209900) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-10100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 7900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 21 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............79     81     83     81     75     67
RH..............34     26     24     28     40     61
20 FT WIND......W 11   W 14   W 14   W 11   W 8    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     25     20     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (148600) DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD
                    (2000-34000).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (10000-57600) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (71900-100500) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130616.ORDWA.01/MPX