FNUS73 KMPX 161631
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REGAL NW RESTO...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1131 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES ARE JUMPING FAST AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FALLING
GIVEN THOSE DRY WESTERLY WINDS. IF THIS SUNSHINE HOLDS OUT ON
US...WHICH IT SHOULD FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS...WE MIGHT
STILL BE TOO COOL FOR THE HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY. WILL CONTINUE
TO SEE BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE
20S. NOT CONFIDENT IN RAIN CHANCES...AND EVEN IF WE GET
SHOWERS/STORMS TO DEVELOP OUT NEAR THE STATE LINE...THE BURN SITE
COULD STAY DRY. THE SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO SHOW THEIR HAND IN ABOUT
4 HOURS...WEST OF THE BURN SITE. DRY...SUNNY...AND BREEZY UNTIL
THEN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2600-14200) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (169800-218600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 9400-10900 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 29 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............79     79     82     82     79     74
RH..............34     30     25     26     32     44
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 11   W 12   W 12   W 9    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....6      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (136000) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (2000-4600).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6200-47100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (60400-96800) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-7300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...TONI AGUILAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130616.REGAL.01/MPX