FNUS75 KGJT 171701
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEWIS MESA...UMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1101 AM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1040 MDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MARGINAL MID-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE BURN SITE WILL
CONTINUE TO ERODE TODAY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FIRE SITE TODAY. ANY NEARBY BUILDUPS SHOULD
COLLAPSE BEFORE SUNSET WITH MODERATE INVERSIONS SETTING UP
OVERNIGHT. THE DRY WARMING TREND CONTINUES ON TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH...INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH THIS
                    AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 6000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-9%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN SHIFTING
                    TO UPSLOPE BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH UNTIL 0900 SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DIEDTTRICH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130617.LEWIS.01/GJT