FNUS75 KGJT 171638
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WARD GULCH...CO-GRD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1038 AM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0934 MDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MARGINAL MOISTURE OVER THE BURN SITE WILL ERODE
TODAY. MOST THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS WILL OCCUR TO THE EAST OF
THE FIRE TODAY BUT AN ISOLATED STORM IS STILL POSSIBLE PRODUCING
MORE WIND THAN RAIN. ANY NEARBY BUILDUPS SHOULD COLLAPSE BEFORE
SUNSET WITH MODERATE INVERSIONS OVERNIGHT. THE DRY WARMING TREND
CONTINUES ON TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED LIGHT
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 1-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AFTERNOON
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD THIS MORNING...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL....EXCEPT 20000
                    FT NEAR STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR ( MAX OF 7000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-9%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1000 THEN LIGHT UPSLOPE.
                    SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 20000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130617.WARDG.01/GJT