FNUS74 KMOB 181243 FWSMOB SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 743 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SMALL AREA OF RAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE THROUGH 9 AM. AFTERWARD...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION DURING THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS...WITH A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL YIELD GOOD AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS. FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 77. LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1. TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........45 47 47 50 50 WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............80 85 89 90 90 RH................80 66 59 56 56 20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD....5 11 11 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST... 18 18 20 17 MIX HGT (FT)......1500 2900 2900 4200 4700 MIX HGT (M).......460 880 880 1280 1430 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD...18 21 21 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S)...8 9 9 10 10 DISPERSION........35 63 63 62 77 LVORI.............3 1 1 1 1 CWR...............40 40 40 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 5. LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)...........50 70 70 70 82 82 WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............88 83 78 77 76 75 RH................61 72 83 87 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD....10 7 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST...17 MIX HGT (FT)......4700 2300 1400 1400 400 400 MIX HGT (M).......1430 700 430 430 120 120 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD...22 21 20 20 16 10 TRANS SPD (M/S)...10 9 9 9 7 4 DISPERSION........77 28 17 17 11 5 LVORI.............1 3 4 4 5 6 CWR...............40 40 40 40 50 50 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........82 71 71 71 71 71 WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............74 79 84 87 89 89 RH................92 81 69 61 58 57 20 FT WIND DIR....W NW NW NW W W 20 FT WIND SPD....3 3 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST... MIX HGT (FT)......400 1100 2200 2200 3300 3300 MIX HGT (M).......120 340 670 670 1010 1010 TRANSP WIND DIR...W NW NW NW W W TRANSP WIND SPD...10 7 9 9 9 10 TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 3 4 4 4 4 DISPERSION........5 10 18 18 25 27 LVORI.............6 4 3 3 2 2 CWR...............50 60 60 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...34 REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130618.JACKS.01/MOB