FNUS75 KPUB 191200
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROYAL GORGE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
600 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

HUMIDITY RECOVERY WAS VERY GOOD LAST NIGHT AS HUMIDITY VALUES THIS
MORNING WERE IN THE 90% RANGE ACCORDING TO NEARBY OBSERVATIONS.
HOWEVER...OBSERVATIONS DOWNSTREAM SHOW VERY DRY AIR AND THIS AIRMASS
WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIND WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY
EARLY AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS WILL BE POOR.

OVERALL ...METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR ARE
EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-5 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 11-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 19000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN AROUND
                    26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MAX HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-4 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 7 MPH  UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 13-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 17500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...CARL FILLINGAME
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130618.ROYAL.01/PUB