FNUS73 KFGF 191402
FWSFGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKULL LAKE CENTER...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
902 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...AND WE FEEL
LARGE SCALE MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE REGION IS STILL ABOUT 24
HOURS AWAY. THEREFORE...IT IS LIKELY THAT HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
DROP WELL DOWN INTO THE 30S BY MID AFTERNOON AS TEMPS HEAD UP
TOWARD 80.  SUNSHINE WILL BE FILTERED BY SOME HIGH CLOUD COVER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE PROGRESS OF WINDS SHOULD NOT BE MUCH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... LIGHT SOUTH THROUGH MID DAY THEN EVEN
LIGHTER AND A BIT VARIABLE...BUT STILL WITH A SOUTHERLY
COMPONENT...LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH
                    UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........53  57  60  62  62  62  62  61
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  78  79  80  80  81  81  80
RH..............39  37  35  34  35  34  34  36
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   4   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.                    5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........60     58     56     54     54     55
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............79     72     66     62     60     60
RH..............38     54     73     87     93     90
20 FT WIND......SE 1   E 4    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...WJB
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN EERKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130619.SKULL.01/FGF