FNUS75 KGJT 200236
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILD ROSE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
836 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2004 MDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HAINES INDEX OF 6...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HAINES INDEX OF
6...

.DISCUSSION...A SHALLOW AND DRY COOL FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE
BURN AREA AROUND 2100 MDT THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TO THE WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...BUT IT SHOULD BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY BETTER HUMIDITY TONIGHT. GRADIENT WINDS
WILL PERSIST PAST MIDNIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
SUNSHINE THURSDAY MORNING WILL QUICKLY MIX OUT ANY SHALLOW
INVERSIONS...WITH GUSTY WIND EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP AFTER MID-
MORNING.

.THIS EVENING (UNTIL 2100 MDT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. SOME
                    GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 40 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER 2100 MDT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST NORTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH BY
                    2230. DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH AFTER 0300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (300000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (4200 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH AFTER 0300.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT 0900 INCREASING TO 14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH AFTER 0900 INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130619.WILDR.01/GJT