FNUS72 KJAX 191028
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNNS CREEK SP B1A...FLDEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
628 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS
SOUTHWARD TODAY AND EXPECT SOUTHWEST FLOW TO CONTINUE HOT CONDITIONS
WITH SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS.
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW UP TO 10 TO 15 MPH WILL CONTINUE HIGH DISPERSION
VALUES ACROSS THE SPOT LOCATION. THE ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZE WILL
REMAIN EAST OF THE SPOT LOCATION AND A WIND SHIFT IS NOT EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 95 THIS AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     42     45     47     48
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     84     89     92     91
RH..............94     71     59     53     54
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 7   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....400    2000   3700   6200   6200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5   SW 10  SW 14  SW 15  W 15
LAL.............1      1      2      2      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....72 DECREASING TO 3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........49     50     48     46     44     45
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     83     79     76     75     73
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 6   SW 5   SW 3   W 2    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   2100   1300   900    600    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   NW 8   W 7    W 7    W 7    W 3

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...JASON DEPUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130619.DUNNS.01/JAX