FNUS73 KMQT 190958 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR BISCUIT CREEK RX...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 558 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WAS DIRECTLY OVER THE BISCUIT CREEK RX YESTERDAY HAS MOVED TO LOWER MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO EXIT SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY. THE MAIN RESULT WILL BE INCREASED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY...WITH A FEW GUSTS IN THE TEENS. STRONG MIXING OF THE LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD ALLOW HUMIDITY VALUES TO ONCE AGAIN FALL AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 30 PERCENT...AND PUSH TEMPERATURES UP APPROXIMATELY 3 DEGREES WARMER THAN WHAT WAS OBSERVED ON TUESDAY. EXPECT A WARMER NIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEARING FROM THE NORTHWEST. ONCE AGAIN...WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE BISCUIT CREEK RX WILL LIKELY BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WHILE THE NATIONAL 5 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK SHOWS NEARLY AN INCH OF LIQUID OVER EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (497) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (902) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........14 22 21 10 18 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 62 70 71 72 70 RH..............77 48 35 31 29 31 GENERAL WIND....SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 GENERAL GUST.... 8 11 16 17 14 VINDX KT-FT/100.23 389 620 755 843 902 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 10 W 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 17 MIX HGT (FT)....300 4300 6200 6400 6500 6000 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (216) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........27 27 28 31 34 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............66 56 50 48 47 52 RH..............38 53 68 74 82 76 GENERAL WIND....SW 6 SW 6 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 6 GENERAL GUST....8 VINDX KT-FT/100.652 216 0 48 53 44 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20 SW 21 SW 22 SW 22 SW 24 SW 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 1200 BLW100 300 300 200 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 31 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (505) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (830) LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4600 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........66 65 64 63 63 62 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............55 62 65 67 73 74 RH..............74 61 56 50 45 47 GENERAL WIND....SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 5 GENERAL GUST....13 13 15 14 14 7 VINDX KT-FT/100.58 208 249 273 758 644 TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 W 26 W 26 W 26 W 23 W 18 MIX HGT (FT)....300 900 1100 1200 3800 4000 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130619.BISCU.01/MQT