FNUS75 KBOU 201525 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 925 AM MDT THU JUN 20 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0845 MDT ON JUNE 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER COLORADO THROUGH TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. STRONG DIURNAL WARMING WILL OCCUR AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS DRY WITH VERY LITTLE CLOUD DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. AFTERNOON HEATING AND DEEPENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL ALLOW THE MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO MIX TO SURFACE LEVELS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77. MIN HUMIDITY........8-14%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........34-42%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-78. MIN HUMIDITY........10-16%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/20-09 0 0 0 58 22 SSW 12 18 4 1 SW 46 7418 SW 28177014 E 06/20-10 0 0 0 63 17 SSW 13 20 4 1 SW 45 10880 SW 28260161 E 06/20-11 0 0 0 67 14 SW 13 21 4 1 SW 45 14341 SW 28343308 E 06/20-12 11 0 0 70 13 SW 14 22 4 1 SW 44 17802 SW 28426454 E 06/20-13 11 0 0 72 12 SW 15 23 4 1 SW 41 18535 SW 28445514 E 06/20-14 11 0 0 74 11 SW 15 24 4 1 SW 40 19267 SW 28464574 E 06/20-15 28 0 0 74 12 WSW 16 25 4 1 SW 38 20000 SW 28483634 E 06/20-16 28 0 0 73 13 WSW 17 28 4 1 SW 39 18697 SW 28445798 E 06/20-17 28 0 0 70 14 WSW 17 29 4 1 SW 40 17395 SW 26407961 E 06/20-18 17 0 0 67 16 WSW 17 28 4 1 SW 41 16092 SW 26370124 E 06/20-19 17 0 0 63 20 WSW 15 23 4 1 SW 41 11883 SW 25270738 E 06/20-20 17 0 0 59 24 WSW 12 17 4 1 SSW 41 7674 WSW 25171352 E 06/20-21 17 0 0 56 28 W 8 13 4 1 SSW 43 3464 WSW 24 71965 G 06/20-22 17 0 0 53 31 WSW 7 7 4 1 SSW 43 2485 WSW 21 49967 F 06/20-23 17 0 0 51 33 WSW 6 6 4 1 SW 43 1505 WSW 17 27968 P 06/21-00 3 0 0 50 33 WSW 6 6 4 1 SW 43 525 WSW 13 5969 P 06/21-01 3 0 0 49 33 WSW 6 6 4 1 SW 44 596 WSW 13 6838 P 06/21-02 3 0 0 48 34 W 6 6 4 1 SW 45 667 WSW 14 7707 P 06/21-03 3 0 0 47 34 W 6 6 4 1 WSW 46 737 WSW 14 8576 P 06/21-04 3 0 0 45 36 W 7 7 4 1 WSW 46 696 WSW 14 8471 P 06/21-05 3 0 0 44 36 WSW 8 13 4 1 WSW 47 654 WSW 15 8366 P 06/21-06 9 0 0 45 35 SW 9 15 4 1 WSW 47 612 WSW 15 8261 P 06/21-07 9 0 0 50 30 SW 10 16 4 1 WSW 46 3280 WSW 22 95045 G 06/21-08 9 0 0 57 24 SW 10 17 4 1 WSW 44 5947 WSW 29181828 E 06/21-09 9 0 0 63 20 SW 12 18 4 1 WSW 43 8614 WSW 36268612 E 06/21-10 9 0 0 68 17 SW 13 20 4 1 WSW 40 12410 WSW 33341732 E 06/21-11 9 0 0 70 15 WSW 13 21 3 1 WSW 38 16205 WSW 31414852 E 06/21-12 21 2 0 72 14 WSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 36 20000 WSW 28487972 E 06/21-13 21 2 0 73 13 WSW 15 23 3 1 SW 33 20000 WSW 28473225 E 06/21-14 21 2 0 74 13 WSW 15 24 3 1 SW 31 20000 SW 26458479 E 06/21-15 17 0 0 74 13 WSW 15 24 3 1 SW 29 20000 SW 25443733 E 06/21-16 17 0 0 75 12 WSW 15 23 3 1 SW 30 20000 SW 25447330 E 06/21-17 17 0 0 75 12 WSW 14 22 4 1 SW 31 20000 SW 26450927 E 06/21-18 37 0 0 73 13 WSW 13 21 4 1 SW 32 20000 SW 26454524 E 06/21-19 37 0 0 70 16 WSW 12 18 4 1 SW 33 16139 SW 26366779 E 06/21-20 37 0 0 65 19 W 10 16 4 1 SW 35 12278 SW 26279034 E 06/21-21 20 2 0 60 24 W 9 15 4 1 SW 36 8417 SW 26191290 E 06/21-22 20 2 0 57 27 W 9 14 4 1 SW 33 6199 WSW 23136110 V 06/21-23 20 2 0 54 29 W 8 14 5 1 SW 31 3980 WSW 20 80931 G 06/22-00 12 0 0 53 30 WSW 8 13 5 1 SW 30 1762 WSW 17 25751 P 06/22-01 12 0 0 52 31 WSW 7 7 5 1 SW 30 1342 WSW 15 18925 P 06/22-02 12 0 0 50 33 WSW 6 6 4 1 SW 30 921 WSW 14 12099 P 06/22-03 12 0 0 49 34 WSW 5 5 4 1 SW 29 500 WSW 13 5272 P 06/22-04 12 0 0 47 37 WSW 5 5 4 1 SW 32 469 WSW 12 4737 P 06/22-05 12 0 0 45 40 SW 6 6 4 1 WSW 35 438 WSW 12 4201 P 06/22-06 11 0 0 46 38 SW 7 7 4 1 WSW 38 406 WSW 10 3665 P 06/22-07 11 0 0 51 32 SW 8 14 4 1 WSW 37 4672 WSW 16104618 V 06/22-08 11 0 0 58 25 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 37 8938 WSW 21205571 E 06/22-09 11 0 0 65 19 SW 12 18 3 1 WSW 37 13204 WSW 26306524 E 06/22-10 11 0 0 69 16 SW 13 21 3 1 WSW 35 14448 WSW 26330725 E 06/22-11 11 0 0 70 16 WSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 31 15692 WSW 26354926 E 06/22-12 26 8 2 70 16 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 29 16936 WSW 25379127 E 06/22-13 26 8 2 73 14 WSW 16 26 3 1 WSW 28 17957 WSW 25395338 E 06/22-14 26 8 2 74 14 WSW 17 29 3 1 SW 26 18979 WSW 25411548 E 06/22-15 26 8 2 74 14 WSW 18 30 3 1 SW 24 20000 WSW 24427758 E 06/22-16 26 8 2 73 14 WSW 18 30 3 1 SW 24 19163 WSW 23393911 E 06/22-17 26 8 2 72 15 WSW 18 29 4 1 SW 23 18326 WSW 23360063 E 06/22-18 26 5 1 69 16 W 17 28 4 1 SW 22 17489 WSW 22326215 E 06/22-19 26 5 1 67 18 W 16 25 4 1 SW 22 14824 WSW 20256346 E 06/22-20 26 5 1 63 22 W 14 23 3 1 SW 22 12160 WSW 16186477 E 06/22-21 26 5 1 59 26 W 13 21 3 1 SW 22 9496 WSW 14116609 V 06/22-22 26 5 1 56 29 W 12 17 3 1 SW 24 6504 WSW 12 78828 G 06/22-23 26 5 1 52 32 W 9 15 3 1 SW 26 3513 WSW 9 41047 F 06/23-00 13 2 0 49 36 W 8 13 3 1 SW 29 521 WSW 7 3266 P 06/23-01 13 2 0 46 40 W 7 7 3 1 SW 28 521 WSW 7 3101 P 06/23-02 13 2 0 44 44 W 6 6 3 1 SW 28 520 WSW 7 2935 P 06/23-03 13 2 0 43 47 W 6 6 3 1 SW 28 520 SW 6 2769 P 06/23-04 13 2 0 43 47 W 6 6 3 1 SW 28 505 SW 6 2723 P 06/23-05 13 2 0 44 45 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 28 489 SSW 6 2676 P 06/23-06 13 1 0 46 42 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 28 474 SSW 7 2630 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...DANKERS REQUESTED BY...SAM DEARSTYNE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130620.BIGME.01/BOU