FNUS75 KGJT 210156
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILD ROSE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
756 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1919 MDT ON JUNE 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES INDEX AND DRY
FUELS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES INDEX AND DRY
FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
THE GRADIENT FLOW WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST THOUGH SATURDAY AS WESTERN
COLORADO REMAIN SQUEEZED BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWEST
AND RIDGING OVER THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY. SHALLOW INVERSIONS
SHOULD BREAK BY MID MORNING TOMORROW AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO THE FIRE SITE...UP TO 35 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RESULT AS MIN
HUMIDITY WILL FALL AGAIN TO THE SINGLE DIGITS BY MID AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN PART OF THE NORTHWEST LOW LOOKS TO MOVE OVER THE ROCKIES
TOMORROW NIGHT INTO SATURDAY KEEPING GUSTY WINDS AND WARM
TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE
TO PERSIST INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND. INVERSIONS MAY NOT BE ABLE
TO SET UP FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A GENERAL SOUTHERLY FLOW PERSISTING.
THERE IS SOME INDICATION OF A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE
FIRE SITE SATURDAY EVENING AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79 TO 83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH THROUGH 1000
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 35 MPH BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15100 FT AGL BY
                    1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH AFTER 1200.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    NEAR 25 MPH THROUGH 2300 THEN DECREASING TO
                    7 T0 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15300 FT AGL DECREASING TO AROUND 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78 TO 83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130620.WILDR.03/GJT