FNUS72 KMFL 200922
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C26...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
522 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF SURFACE MOISTURE, ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND WEAK MID
TO UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AROUND, IF NOT OVER, THE BURN AREA. TIMING
CURRENTLY  LOOKS TO BE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON, PERHAPS AROUND 2PM.
TOMORROW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A LITTLE DRIER, BUT THE BURN AREA
WOULD BE IN THE AREA TO WATCH FOR ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

FOR TODAY, THE MAIN THREAT, BESIDES NORMAL THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS,
IS STRONG GUSTY WIND AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.

NO FOG FORMATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........35     35     35     58     58     58
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............79     90     94     93     90     85
RH..............81     58     50     51     54     65
20 FT WIND......E 2    SE 4   SE 4   S 5    SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   5000   5000   5000   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......E 5    SE 8   SE 8   S 10   SE 9   SE 9
DISPERSION IDX..20     47     47     32     27     27
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 41 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130620.C26__.01/MFL