FNUS72 KMFL 200936
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 207...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
536 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF SURFACE MOISTURE, ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND WEAK MID
TO UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AROUND, IF NOT OVER, THE BURN AREA. TIMING
CURRENTLY  LOOKS TO BE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON, PERHAPS JUST AFTER 1PM.
TOMORROW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A LITTLE DRIER, BUT THERE REMAINS
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION TOMORROW.

FOR TODAY, THE MAIN THREAT, BESIDES NORMAL THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS,
IS STRONG GUSTY WIND AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.

NO FOG FORMATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 46 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........38     38     38     62     62     62
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............82     87     90     90     90     85
RH..............78     65     60     58     59     67
20 FT WIND......S 3    SE 6   SE 6   SE 8   SE 8   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4500   4500   4600   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......S 6    SE 12  SE 12  SE 16  SE 16  SE 16
DISPERSION IDX..28     45     45     47     46     46
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 99 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 16
                    TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 60 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 51 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...GENE COLWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130620.UNIT2.01/MFL