FNUS75 KBOU 211343 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 740 AM MDT FRI JUN 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0646 MDT ON JUNE 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER COLORADO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS AT MID LEVELS WILL ALSO CONTINUE. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN SLOPE WITH LOW PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO. DAYTIME HEATING WILL PRODUCE AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS OVER THE MOUNTAIN RIDGES...BUT VERY LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-78. MIN HUMIDITY........6-12%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...RISING TO 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 30-35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-46. MAX HUMIDITY........34-42%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000-11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...FALLING BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-78. MIN HUMIDITY........10-16%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...RISING TO 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. MIXING HEIGHT AND VENTILATION RATE DATA ARE TOO HIGH AND SHOULD NOT BE USED. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/21-07 2 0 0 50 27 SW 10 16 4 1 SW 43 4512 SW 22128679 V 06/21-08 2 0 0 58 21 SW 10 17 4 1 SW 40 8375 SW 29248739 E 06/21-09 2 0 0 65 17 SW 12 18 4 1 SW 38 12239 SW 35368799 E 06/21-10 21 0 0 70 14 SW 13 20 4 1 SW 38 14826 SW 35442234 E 06/21-11 21 0 0 73 12 WSW 13 21 4 1 SW 39 17413 SW 35515670 E 06/21-12 21 3 0 75 11 WSW 14 22 4 1 SW 39 20000 SW 33589105 E 06/21-13 21 3 0 76 11 WSW 15 23 4 1 SW 39 20000 SW 33588333 E 06/21-14 22 3 0 77 10 WSW 15 24 4 1 SW 39 20000 SW 33587561 E 06/21-15 22 5 1 77 10 WSW 15 24 4 1 SW 40 20000 SW 33586789 E 06/21-16 22 5 1 76 11 WSW 15 23 4 1 SW 40 20000 SW 33578021 E 06/21-17 22 5 1 73 12 WSW 14 22 4 1 SW 41 20000 SW 32569252 E 06/21-18 36 5 1 70 14 WSW 13 21 4 1 SW 41 20000 WSW 32560484 E 06/21-19 36 5 1 66 17 WSW 10 17 4 1 SW 39 15516 WSW 30423032 E 06/21-20 36 5 1 62 20 WSW 9 14 4 1 SW 36 11032 WSW 28285581 E 06/21-21 27 2 0 58 25 W 7 7 4 1 SW 33 6547 WSW 26148129 V 06/21-22 27 2 0 55 27 WSW 6 6 4 1 SW 32 4668 WSW 22101993 V 06/21-23 27 2 0 53 28 WSW 5 5 4 1 SW 30 2788 WSW 17 55857 F 06/22-00 12 0 0 52 28 WSW 5 5 4 1 SW 28 909 WSW 13 9722 P 06/22-01 12 0 0 51 29 WSW 3 3 4 1 SW 29 765 WSW 12 7908 P 06/22-02 12 0 0 50 30 WSW 3 3 5 1 SW 29 621 SW 12 6094 P 06/22-03 12 0 0 49 31 WSW 3 3 5 1 SW 29 477 SW 10 4280 P 06/22-04 12 0 0 46 35 WSW 5 5 5 1 SW 31 448 SW 12 4395 P 06/22-05 12 0 0 45 35 SW 6 6 4 1 SW 35 418 SW 13 4511 P 06/22-06 14 0 0 46 34 SW 7 7 4 1 SW 37 389 SW 14 4627 P 06/22-07 14 0 0 51 30 SW 7 7 4 1 SW 37 4475 SW 18 99250 G 06/22-08 14 0 0 58 24 SSW 7 7 3 1 SW 38 8561 SW 22193873 E 06/22-09 25 0 0 65 19 SSW 8 13 3 1 SW 38 12647 SW 26288495 E 06/22-10 25 0 0 69 17 SW 9 16 3 1 SW 37 14471 SW 26339805 E 06/22-11 25 0 0 71 15 SW 12 18 3 1 SW 36 16296 SW 28391114 E 06/22-12 40 8 2 72 14 SW 14 22 3 1 SW 35 18120 SW 28442423 E 06/22-13 40 8 2 73 14 WSW 15 24 3 1 SW 35 18747 SW 29466183 E 06/22-14 40 8 2 74 14 WSW 16 26 4 1 SW 35 19373 SW 29489944 E 06/22-15 34 8 2 74 14 WSW 17 28 4 1 SW 36 20000 SW 30513704 E 06/22-16 34 8 2 73 14 WSW 18 29 4 1 SW 36 18801 WSW 30487185 E 06/22-17 34 8 2 70 15 WSW 18 29 5 1 SW 36 17603 WSW 30460666 E 06/22-18 39 5 1 67 17 W 17 28 5 1 SW 37 16404 WSW 30434147 E 06/22-19 39 5 1 63 21 W 15 24 4 1 SW 37 13501 WSW 30352201 E 06/22-20 39 5 1 60 24 W 13 20 4 1 WSW 37 10599 WSW 29270255 E 06/22-21 22 5 1 57 28 W 10 16 3 1 WSW 37 7696 WSW 28188309 E 06/22-22 22 5 1 54 31 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 36 5374 W 24128901 V 06/22-23 22 5 1 51 34 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 35 3052 W 20 69493 G 06/23-00 13 2 0 50 34 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 33 730 W 16 10085 P 06/23-01 13 2 0 49 36 WNW 8 8 3 1 WSW 33 663 W 13 7857 P 06/23-02 13 2 0 49 36 WNW 6 6 3 1 WSW 32 596 W 10 5630 P 06/23-03 13 2 0 47 39 NW 5 5 3 1 W 32 528 WNW 7 3402 P 06/23-04 13 2 0 45 42 WNW 5 5 3 1 W 30 509 W 7 3204 P 06/23-05 13 2 0 43 46 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 28 490 W 7 3006 P 06/23-06 13 1 0 44 45 WSW 7 7 3 1 WSW 26 471 WSW 7 2807 P 06/23-07 13 1 0 48 38 WSW 7 7 3 1 WSW 25 3863 WSW 9 49788 F 06/23-08 13 1 0 55 29 SW 8 8 3 1 WSW 25 7255 WSW 13 96769 G 06/23-09 13 1 0 62 22 SW 8 13 3 1 WSW 24 10647 WSW 16143750 V 06/23-10 13 1 0 66 19 SW 9 14 3 1 WSW 24 12690 WSW 16183182 E 06/23-11 13 1 0 69 17 SW 9 15 3 1 WSW 24 14734 SW 17222613 E 06/23-12 32 0 0 71 16 SW 10 16 3 1 SW 23 16777 SW 18262045 E 06/23-13 32 0 0 73 15 SW 10 17 3 1 SW 22 17646 SW 17267757 E 06/23-14 32 0 0 75 14 SW 10 17 4 1 SW 22 18515 SW 17273468 E 06/23-15 32 10 1 75 14 SW 10 16 4 2 SW 21 19384 SW 16279179 E 06/23-16 32 10 1 74 15 SW 9 16 4 2 SW 24 17970 SSW 17271112 E 06/23-17 32 10 1 72 17 SW 9 14 3 2 SW 28 16556 SSW 18263044 E 06/23-18 29 6 1 69 19 SSW 8 13 3 1 SW 31 15142 SSW 20254977 E 06/23-19 29 6 1 66 22 SSW 7 7 1 06/23-20 29 6 1 62 26 SSW 7 7 1 06/23-21 29 6 1 58 32 SSW 6 6 1 06/23-22 29 6 1 55 36 SSW 5 5 1 06/23-23 29 6 1 52 41 SSW 5 5 1 06/24-00 15 1 0 51 43 SSW 5 5 1 06/24-01 15 1 0 50 44 SSW 5 5 1 06/24-02 15 1 0 50 43 SSW 6 6 1 06/24-03 15 1 0 49 44 SSW 6 6 1 06/24-04 15 1 0 47 46 SSW 6 6 1 06/24-05 15 1 0 46 47 SW 6 6 1 06/24-06 12 2 0 47 44 SW 7 7 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...DANKERS REQUESTED BY...SAM DEARSTYNE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130621.BIGME.01/BOU