FNUS75 KGJT 231842
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSH CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1242 PM MDT SUN JUN 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1208 MDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A TRANSITORY RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PASS OVER THE
AREA TODAY...RESULTING IN A MORE RELAXED FLOW. THEREFORE WHILE
SOME GUSTS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
AS STRONG AS THEY HAVE BEEN IN RECENT DAYS. ON MONDAY...THE FLOW
WILL AGAIN INCREASE AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.
THEREFORE STRONG GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON FOR POTENTIAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.

.THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%
                    HIGH BASED CUMULUS) AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH...INCREASING TO 8-13 MPH
                    AFTER 1400...WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH WITH A FEW
                    HIGHER GUSTS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS WITH A FEW
                    CUMULUS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST. INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 20-25 BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AND AFTER 1500
                    INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS 30-40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    12900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 23 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130623.BRUSH.01/GJT