FNUS75 KBOU 251014 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 402 AM MDT TUE JUN 25 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1813 MDT ON JUNE 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT HAS INCREASED BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME GUSTY WINDS ESPECIALLY ON EXPOSED RIDGES THROUGH THE DAY. HUMIDITIES SHOULD SHOW JUST A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT BUT REMAIN QUITE LOW WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY BY EARLY EVENING AS FLOW ALOFT WEAKENS. THERE IS NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TODAY WITH A STABLE AIRMASS TAKING HOLD. ON WEDNESDAY...DRY AND EVEN WARMER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. FOR THE WEEKEND...TEMPERATURES SHOULD TURN A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER WITH JUST A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-17 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON RIDGES. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7200-8200 FT AGL AFTER 0900. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/25-03 49 0 0 46 42 WSW 12 17 2 1 WSW 44 1166 W 22 22113 P 06/25-04 49 0 0 45 42 WSW 13 18 2 1 WSW 46 1026 W 22 19685 P 06/25-05 49 0 0 43 44 W 13 20 2 1 W 48 886 W 23 17256 P 06/25-06 33 0 0 43 43 W 14 21 2 1 W 51 746 W 23 14827 P 06/25-07 33 0 0 47 39 W 14 21 2 1 W 49 2208 W 28 65418 G 06/25-08 33 0 0 53 33 W 15 22 2 1 W 47 3669 W 32116009 V 06/25-09 33 0 0 59 28 W 15 23 2 1 W 45 5131 W 37166599 E 06/25-10 30 0 0 63 25 W 16 24 2 1 W 45 5854 W 33168079 E 06/25-11 30 0 0 66 22 W 17 26 2 1 W 45 6578 W 30169559 E 06/25-12 30 0 0 69 20 W 18 28 2 1 W 44 7301 W 26171038 E 06/25-13 30 0 0 71 19 W 18 29 2 1 W 44 7662 W 25167578 E 06/25-14 30 0 0 72 18 W 18 29 2 1 W 43 8023 W 24164118 E 06/25-15 30 0 0 73 17 W 18 28 2 1 W 41 8384 W 22160658 E 06/25-16 30 0 0 72 18 W 17 26 2 1 W 40 8295 W 21152649 E 06/25-17 30 0 0 70 18 W 16 24 2 1 W 39 8206 W 21144641 V 06/25-18 25 0 0 67 20 W 15 23 2 1 W 37 8117 W 20136632 V 06/25-19 25 0 0 63 24 W 13 20 2 1 W 36 6803 W 18110101 V 06/25-20 25 0 0 58 30 W 12 16 2 1 W 35 5489 W 17 83570 G 06/25-21 19 0 0 54 37 W 9 14 2 1 W 33 4175 W 16 57040 F 06/25-22 19 0 0 50 43 W 8 8 2 1 W 32 3138 W 15 41634 F 06/25-23 19 0 0 48 46 W 7 7 2 1 W 31 2100 W 13 26229 P 06/26-00 15 0 0 46 49 W 6 6 2 1 W 30 1062 W 12 10824 P 06/26-01 15 0 0 45 51 W 6 6 2 1 W 28 942 W 12 9183 P 06/26-02 15 0 0 45 51 W 7 7 2 1 W 26 822 W 10 7541 P 06/26-03 15 0 0 44 53 W 7 7 2 1 W 24 702 W 9 5900 P 06/26-04 15 0 0 42 58 W 7 7 2 1 W 23 592 W 9 4919 P 06/26-05 15 0 0 41 61 W 6 6 2 1 W 21 482 W 9 3939 P 06/26-06 24 0 0 43 57 W 6 6 2 1 W 21 372 W 9 2958 P 06/26-07 24 0 0 48 48 W 6 6 2 1 W 21 2136 W 12 26441 P 06/26-08 24 0 0 56 36 WSW 6 6 2 1 WNW 21 3900 W 13 49923 F 06/26-09 24 0 0 64 28 WSW 7 7 2 1 WNW 21 5664 W 15 73406 G 06/26-10 24 0 0 70 23 WSW 8 13 2 1 WNW 21 6688 W 14 82454 G 06/26-11 24 0 0 74 21 WSW 9 15 2 1 W 21 7711 W 14 91503 G 06/26-12 26 0 0 77 19 WSW 10 16 2 1 W 20 8734 W 14100552 V 06/26-13 26 0 0 79 18 WSW 12 18 2 1 W 18 9203 W 14107325 V 06/26-14 26 0 0 80 18 WSW 13 20 3 1 W 17 9672 W 14114098 V 06/26-15 29 0 0 80 17 WSW 13 21 3 1 W 17 10141 W 14120871 V 06/26-16 29 0 0 79 18 WSW 13 20 3 1 W 16 9975 W 14115205 V 06/26-17 29 0 0 76 19 WSW 12 18 3 1 W 17 9810 W 13109538 V 06/26-18 30 0 0 72 22 W 10 16 3 1 W 18 9644 W 13103871 V 06/26-19 30 0 0 67 26 W 8 14 3 1 W 21 8068 W 12 85393 G 06/26-20 30 0 0 62 32 W 7 7 3 1 W 23 6492 W 12 66916 G 06/26-21 30 0 0 57 38 W 5 5 3 1 W 24 4915 W 12 48439 F 06/26-22 30 0 0 53 45 W 3 3 3 1 W 24 3856 W 10 37037 P 06/26-23 30 0 0 50 51 W 3 3 3 1 W 23 2797 W 10 25635 P 06/27-00 18 0 0 49 54 W 3 3 3 1 W 22 1738 W 9 14233 P 06/27-01 18 0 0 49 55 W 3 3 3 1 W 22 1329 W 9 10673 P 06/27-02 18 0 0 48 57 W 3 3 3 1 W 22 920 W 8 7113 P 06/27-03 18 0 0 47 60 W 3 3 3 1 W 22 511 W 8 3553 P 06/27-04 18 0 0 45 65 W 3 3 3 1 WNW 22 517 W 8 3507 P 06/27-05 18 0 0 43 70 W 3 3 2 1 WNW 22 524 W 8 3460 P 06/27-06 16 2 0 44 68 W 3 3 2 1 WNW 22 531 W 7 3414 P 06/27-07 16 2 0 50 53 W 5 5 2 1 WNW 21 2359 W 10 28465 P 06/27-08 16 2 0 57 41 W 5 5 2 1 WNW 21 4187 WNW 13 53515 F 06/27-09 26 2 0 65 30 W 6 6 2 1 WNW 21 6015 WNW 15 78565 G 06/27-10 26 2 0 71 24 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 21 7101 WNW 13 77175 G 06/27-11 26 2 0 74 22 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 21 8188 WNW 12 75785 G 06/27-12 34 7 1 76 20 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 20 9274 WNW 9 74394 G 06/27-13 34 7 1 78 19 WNW 7 7 3 1 WNW 17 10551 WNW 8 71855 G 06/27-14 34 7 1 79 18 WNW 6 6 4 1 WNW 14 11829 WNW 7 69316 G 06/27-15 34 7 1 79 18 WNW 6 6 4 1 WNW 13 13106 WNW 6 66777 G 06/27-16 34 7 1 78 19 WNW 6 6 4 1 WNW 12 13253 WNW 6 65432 G 06/27-17 34 7 1 76 21 NW 5 5 4 1 WNW 12 13399 NW 6 64087 G 06/27-18 33 7 1 73 23 NW 5 5 4 1 WNW 12 13546 NW 6 62742 G 06/27-19 33 7 1 69 27 NW 5 5 4 1 WNW 12 12014 NNW 5 51349 F 06/27-20 33 7 1 64 32 NNW 3 3 4 1 W 10 10482 N 5 39956 P 06/27-21 33 7 1 60 37 NNW 2 2 4 1 W 12 8950 N 3 28563 P 06/27-22 33 7 1 58 40 NNW 2 2 4 1 W 14 6353 NNE 3 19956 P 06/27-23 33 7 1 57 42 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 17 3755 E 3 11349 P 06/28-00 27 2 0 56 43 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 21 1158 ESE 2 2742 P 06/28-01 27 2 0 55 45 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 21 953 SE 2 2271 P 06/28-02 27 2 0 54 48 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 21 749 SW 2 1799 P 06/28-03 27 2 0 52 52 CALM 1 3 1 NW 21 544 WSW 2 1328 P 06/28-04 27 2 0 50 56 CALM 1 3 1 NW 21 526 W 3 1572 P 06/28-05 27 2 0 49 58 CALM 1 3 1 NW 22 508 WNW 5 1817 P 06/28-06 22 3 1 50 56 CALM 1 3 1 NW 22 490 NW 5 2061 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...MATT DUTTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130624.BIGME.01/BOU