FNUS75 KPUB 241003
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR OX CART...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
403 AM MDT MON JUN 24 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS WILL PRODUCE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS THAT FAVOR EXTREME FIRE
BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE BURN AREA. VERY LOW HUMIDITY...AROUND 5 PERCENT...
IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH POOR RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHTER DURING TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(34 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE FROM
                    WEST FORK COMPLEX AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-6 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 2-5 UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(36 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE FROM
                    WEST FORK COMPLEX UNTIL 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49F.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING THEN 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN LESS THAN 500
                    FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN AROUND 25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 9500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MAGNUSON
REQUESTED BY...CARL FILLINGAME
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130624.OXCAR.01/PUB