FNUS75 KBOU 261047 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 445 AM MDT WED JUN 26 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1856 MDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WITH LIGHTER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL CONFORM TO GENERALLY LIGHT AND TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERNS AS THE FLOW ALOFT HAS DECREASED. VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. BY FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...THERE ARE SIGNS A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL WORK INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL OFFER A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-8 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN WEST/SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...INCREASING TO 8200-9200 FT AGL BY 1000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13500-13700 FT AGL AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/26-04 6 0 0 42 62 E 6 6 2 1 W 20 366 SE 7 2153 P 06/26-05 6 0 0 41 64 E 6 6 2 1 W 20 435 SE 7 2567 P 06/26-06 5 0 0 43 60 E 6 6 2 1 W 20 505 SE 7 2980 P 06/26-07 5 0 0 48 50 E 4 4 2 1 W 21 2642 S 9 29628 P 06/26-08 5 0 0 56 38 WSW 4 4 2 1 W 22 4779 WSW 12 56275 F 06/26-09 5 0 0 63 30 WSW 6 6 2 1 W 23 6915 WSW 14 82923 G 06/26-10 5 0 0 68 25 WSW 6 6 2 1 W 23 7545 WSW 14 93177 G 06/26-11 5 0 0 72 22 WSW 7 12 2 1 W 24 8174 WSW 15103430 V 06/26-12 12 0 0 74 20 WSW 8 14 2 1 W 24 8804 WSW 15113684 V 06/26-13 25 0 0 76 18 WSW 9 15 2 1 W 23 9019 W 15117408 V 06/26-14 32 2 0 78 16 W 9 15 3 1 W 22 9234 W 15121132 V 06/26-15 33 2 0 78 16 W 9 15 3 1 W 22 9449 W 15124856 V 06/26-16 35 2 0 77 16 W 9 15 3 1 W 22 9211 W 15120527 V 06/26-17 36 2 0 74 19 W 9 15 3 1 W 23 8973 W 15116198 V 06/26-18 36 2 0 70 22 W 9 15 3 1 W 23 8735 W 15111870 V 06/26-19 36 2 0 66 25 W 8 12 3 1 W 24 7402 W 14 92596 G 06/26-20 32 0 0 61 30 WNW 7 7 3 1 W 25 6068 W 14 73323 G 06/26-21 25 0 0 57 36 WNW 7 7 3 1 W 25 4735 W 13 54049 F 06/26-22 20 0 0 54 41 WNW 6 6 3 1 W 26 3560 W 12 39401 P 06/26-23 9 0 0 51 47 WNW 6 6 3 1 W 26 2386 W 10 24754 P 06/27-00 4 0 0 49 52 WNW 6 6 3 1 W 26 1211 W 9 10106 P 06/27-01 4 0 0 49 51 WNW 6 6 3 1 W 26 995 W 9 8321 P 06/27-02 4 0 0 48 52 E 7 7 3 1 W 26 778 W 9 6537 P 06/27-03 4 0 0 46 56 E 7 7 3 1 W 28 562 W 9 4752 P 06/27-04 4 0 0 44 60 E 7 7 3 1 W 25 549 W 9 4483 P 06/27-05 4 0 0 42 66 E 7 7 3 1 W 24 536 W 9 4213 P 06/27-06 16 2 0 43 65 E 7 7 3 1 W 22 524 WNW 9 3944 P 06/27-07 16 2 0 49 52 E 7 7 3 1 WNW 21 2593 WNW 10 27622 P 06/27-08 16 2 0 57 40 WSW 7 7 3 1 WNW 20 4662 WNW 12 51300 F 06/27-09 26 2 0 65 30 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 18 6731 WNW 13 74977 G 06/27-10 26 2 0 71 24 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 18 8220 WNW 12 74802 G 06/27-11 26 2 0 74 22 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 17 9709 WNW 9 74628 G 06/27-12 34 7 1 76 20 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 16 11198 WNW 8 74453 G 06/27-13 34 7 1 78 19 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 14 12043 WNW 7 73407 G 06/27-14 34 7 1 79 18 W 5 5 4 1 WNW 13 12888 WNW 7 72361 G 06/27-15 34 7 1 79 18 W 5 5 4 1 WNW 12 13733 W 6 71315 G 06/27-16 34 7 1 78 19 W 5 5 4 1 WNW 12 13622 WNW 6 69097 G 06/27-17 34 7 1 76 20 WNW 5 5 4 1 W 12 13511 WNW 6 66880 G 06/27-18 33 7 1 72 24 NW 5 5 4 1 W 12 13400 WNW 6 64663 G 06/27-19 33 7 1 68 28 NW 5 5 4 1 W 12 12124 NW 5 50437 F 06/27-20 33 7 1 64 32 NW 5 5 4 1 W 10 10848 NNW 3 36211 P 06/27-21 33 7 1 60 38 NNW 5 5 4 1 W 9 9572 NNW 2 21985 P 06/27-22 33 7 1 57 42 NW 5 5 4 1 W 13 6597 NNW 2 14795 P 06/27-23 33 7 1 55 45 NW 3 3 4 1 W 15 3623 CALM 7606 P 06/28-00 28 2 0 54 47 WNW 3 3 4 1 W 17 648 CALM 417 P 06/28-01 28 2 0 54 47 WNW 5 5 4 1 W 18 617 NNW 2 981 P 06/28-02 28 2 0 53 50 WNW 5 5 3 1 WNW 20 586 WNW 3 1544 P 06/28-03 28 2 0 52 52 WNW 6 6 3 1 WNW 21 555 W 5 2107 P 06/28-04 28 2 0 50 56 WNW 5 5 3 1 WNW 22 537 W 6 2417 P 06/28-05 28 2 0 49 59 W 5 5 3 1 NW 24 519 WNW 6 2727 P 06/28-06 27 3 1 50 56 W 3 3 3 1 NW 26 501 WNW 7 3037 P 06/28-07 27 3 1 55 46 WNW 5 5 3 1 NW 24 2919 NW 8 25515 P 06/28-08 27 3 1 62 36 WNW 5 5 3 1 NNW 23 5336 NW 9 47994 F 06/28-09 27 3 1 69 27 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 22 7753 NW 10 70472 G 06/28-10 27 3 1 74 22 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 17 9977 NW 9 78262 G 06/28-11 27 3 1 77 20 NW 5 5 4 1 NW 14 12201 NW 8 86052 G 06/28-12 51 10 2 78 19 NW 3 3 4 2 NW 10 14425 NW 8 93842 G 06/28-13 51 10 2 79 18 NNW 3 3 4 2 NW 10 13828 NNW 7 80868 G 06/28-14 51 10 2 79 19 N 3 3 4 2 NW 12 13231 N 6 67895 G 06/28-15 51 10 2 78 20 N 3 3 4 2 NW 13 12633 N 5 54922 F 06/28-16 51 10 2 78 21 N 3 3 4 2 NW 14 11942 N 5 47821 F 06/28-17 51 10 2 76 22 NNE 3 3 4 2 NW 14 11251 NNE 5 40720 F 06/28-18 53 12 2 74 24 NNE 3 3 4 2 NW 15 10559 NNE 3 33618 P 06/28-19 53 12 2 70 28 NE 3 3 4 2 NW 15 7686 NE 5 26321 P 06/28-20 53 12 2 66 32 ENE 2 2 4 2 WNW 16 4814 E 6 19024 P 06/28-21 53 12 2 62 38 ENE 2 2 4 2 WNW 16 1941 ESE 7 11727 P 06/28-22 53 12 2 59 43 E 2 2 4 2 WNW 17 1516 ESE 7 8855 P 06/28-23 53 12 2 58 45 CALM 1 3 2 NW 20 1091 ESE 6 5983 P 06/29-00 29 7 1 57 47 CALM 1 3 1 NW 21 667 ESE 6 3111 P 06/29-01 29 7 1 56 49 CALM 1 3 1 NW 22 574 SE 6 2689 P 06/29-02 29 7 1 54 54 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 22 482 SSW 6 2268 P 06/29-03 29 7 1 53 56 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 22 390 SW 6 1846 P 06/29-04 29 7 1 51 61 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 22 427 WSW 6 1907 P 06/29-05 29 7 1 50 63 CALM 1 4 1 NW 21 464 W 5 1968 P 06/29-06 35 9 2 51 61 CALM 1 4 1 NW 21 501 W 5 2029 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...MATT DUTTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130625.BIGME.01/BOU