FNAK79 PAFG 270506
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR PROSPECT CREEK...BLM - ALASKA FIRE SEVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
906 PM AKDT WED JUN 26 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2026 AKDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER AREAS TO THE
SOUTH THIS EVENING AND ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD
INTO THE FIRE AREA LATER THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT.
LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT AROUND THE PERIMETER OF A HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST WILL GIVE WAY TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE
OF RAIN WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THIS
FLOW BECOMES MORE MOIST. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE
FIRE AREA WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A THERMAL SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS EAST OF THE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS
                    OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL BY 0400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 7000 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 5-8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO 500
                    FT AGL BY 0400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-8 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 7000 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
AROUND 70. WEST WINDS TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...ADAM KOHLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130626.PROSP.02/AFG