FNAK79 PAFG 271346
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKINNY...AK-FAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
546 AM AKDT THU JUN 27 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2243 AKDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WHICH BROUGHT HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS IS BREAKING DOWN AND DRIFTING NORTHEAST INTO THE YUKON
TERRITORY. THE ASSOCIATED THERMAL TROUGH AT THE SURFACE IS DRIFTING
NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE FIRE AS WELL. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE WINDS TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE TODAY IS RESULTING IN CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS TODAY WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND HIGHER
HUMIDITIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PLUMB
REQUESTED BY...IC  BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130626.SKINN.01/AFG