FNUS72 KMHX 271154 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PASTY POND...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 754 AM EDT THU JUN 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK WITH BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE WEEKEND BUT STALL OUT WEST OF THE AREA. THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY LATE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............50 58 59 61 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................82 84 84 83 RH..................74 70 72 74 20 FT WIND..........SW 11 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 ADI.................40 43 47 52 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 74 77 82 85 82 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................82 80 79 78 77 75 RH..................77 79 85 88 90 94 20 FT WIND..........SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 20 20 15 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 4 5 ADI.................53 54 47 29 23 21 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............79 76 73 68 65 68 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................75 77 81 83 84 84 RH..................94 87 77 72 70 70 20 FT WIND..........SW 11 SW 10 SW 12 SW 14 SW 15 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 25 25 25 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 3 3 ADI.................21 27 33 57 53 54 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130627.PASTY.01/MHX