FNUS75 KBOU 281257 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 700 AM MDT FRI JUN 28 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0601 MDT ON JUNE 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS WILL BEGIN TO PUSH WESTWARD TODAY ALLOWING LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. MAINLY LIGHT AND NORMAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS SHOULD PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THERE IS A BIT MORE MOISTURE TODAY...BUT ONLY ISOLATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED WEST OF THE FRONT RANGE WITH HIGHER COVERAGE FURTHER EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THEIR DOWNWARD TREND WHILE HUMIDITIES WILL BE GRADUALLY IMPROVING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS EACH DAY AS WELL...AND WINDS WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82. MIN HUMIDITY........16-20%. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 0-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...BECOMING UPSLOPE/ UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 0900 AND 11000 FT AGL BY 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45. MAX HUMIDITY........86-92%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 2000 AND BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST UP TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75. MIN HUMIDITY........27-31%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL BY 0900 AND 11000 FT AGL BY 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/28-06 7 1 0 44 70 WNW 3 3 3 1 NW 13 523 NW 7 3104 P 06/28-07 7 1 0 50 55 WNW 3 3 3 1 NW 13 3263 NW 8 24982 P 06/28-08 7 1 0 58 40 WNW 3 3 3 1 NNW 14 6004 NNW 8 46859 F 06/28-09 7 1 0 67 28 W 3 3 3 1 NNW 14 8744 NNW 9 68736 G 06/28-10 7 1 0 73 23 WNW 5 5 3 1 NNW 14 10536 NNW 9 80891 G 06/28-11 33 1 0 77 19 NW 6 6 4 1 NW 13 12327 NNW 9 93046 G 06/28-12 54 10 2 79 18 NW 7 7 4 2 NW 13 14118 NNW 8105201 V 06/28-13 53 23 5 80 18 NNW 7 7 4 3 NW 15 13120 NNW 7 86413 G 06/28-14 52 23 5 79 18 NNE 6 6 4 3 NW 16 12122 N 6 67626 G 06/28-15 51 23 5 78 19 NE 6 6 4 3 WNW 18 11123 N 5 48838 F 06/28-16 51 23 5 76 22 NE 6 6 4 3 NW 18 10366 N 5 38318 P 06/28-17 51 23 5 74 25 NE 6 6 4 3 NW 18 9609 NNE 3 27797 P 06/28-18 51 19 4 71 29 NE 6 6 4 3 NW 18 8851 NE 2 17277 P 06/28-19 51 19 4 67 35 ENE 6 6 4 3 NW 18 5992 ENE 5 12154 P 06/28-20 51 19 4 62 43 E 6 6 3 3 NW 17 3133 E 6 7030 P 06/28-21 49 19 4 57 53 E 6 6 3 3 NW 17 273 E 8 1906 P 06/28-22 45 19 4 53 62 E 6 6 3 3 NW 18 972 ESE 9 9315 P 06/28-23 41 19 4 50 69 NE 6 6 3 3 NW 20 1670 ESE 10 16724 P 06/29-00 37 8 2 49 71 NNE 6 6 3 1 NW 20 2368 ESE 12 24133 P 06/29-01 33 8 2 48 74 N 5 5 3 1 NW 18 1846 SE 9 16699 P 06/29-02 29 8 2 47 77 N 3 3 3 1 NW 17 1324 SSE 6 9264 P 06/29-03 27 2 0 46 79 NNW 3 3 3 1 NW 16 803 S 2 1829 P 06/29-04 27 2 0 44 86 NNW 3 3 3 1 NW 17 685 SSW 3 1868 P 06/29-05 27 2 0 43 89 NW 3 3 4 1 NW 18 568 W 5 1907 P 06/29-06 50 10 2 44 86 WNW 3 3 4 2 NW 20 451 WNW 5 1946 P 06/29-07 50 10 2 49 72 NW 3 3 4 2 NW 18 3302 WNW 6 21184 P 06/29-08 50 10 2 56 56 NNW 3 3 3 2 NW 17 6154 NW 7 40421 F 06/29-09 50 10 2 64 43 N 3 3 3 2 NW 16 9006 NNW 8 59658 F 06/29-10 50 10 2 69 35 N 3 3 3 2 NW 16 10415 NNW 7 61553 G 06/29-11 50 10 2 71 32 N 5 5 4 2 NW 16 11825 NNW 6 63447 G 06/29-12 62 29 8 73 29 N 5 5 4 4 WNW 16 13234 NNW 6 65342 G 06/29-13 62 29 8 73 30 NNE 5 5 4 4 WNW 17 11897 NW 6 54806 F 06/29-14 62 29 8 72 32 ENE 5 5 3 4 WNW 18 10560 WNW 5 44270 F 06/29-15 62 29 8 72 33 E 5 5 3 4 WNW 21 9223 W 5 33733 P 06/29-16 62 29 8 71 34 E 6 6 3 4 WNW 22 8394 WSW 3 27890 P 06/29-17 62 29 8 69 36 E 6 6 3 4 WNW 23 7564 SSW 3 22047 P 06/29-18 54 25 5 66 40 E 7 7 3 4 WNW 24 6734 S 2 16204 P 06/29-19 54 25 5 62 46 E 7 7 3 4 WNW 23 4903 SSE 5 13856 P 06/29-20 54 25 5 58 54 ESE 7 7 3 4 WNW 23 3071 SE 7 11508 P 06/29-21 54 25 5 55 61 ESE 6 6 3 4 WNW 22 1239 SE 8 9160 P 06/29-22 54 25 5 52 70 ESE 5 5 3 4 WNW 24 1301 SE 9 9924 P 06/29-23 54 17 3 51 73 ESE 5 5 3 3 WNW 28 1363 ESE 9 10688 P 06/30-00 35 17 3 50 77 ESE 3 3 3 3 WNW 31 1425 E 9 11452 P 06/30-01 35 17 3 49 79 SSE 2 2 3 3 NW 33 1261 ESE 9 9678 P 06/30-02 35 17 3 48 81 SSW 2 2 3 3 NW 36 1097 SSE 8 7905 P 06/30-03 35 9 2 47 83 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 39 933 S 8 6132 P 06/30-04 35 9 2 45 88 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 37 683 SSW 7 4398 P 06/30-05 35 9 2 44 90 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 35 433 WSW 7 2664 P 06/30-06 47 8 2 46 83 CALM 1 3 1 NNW 33 183 W 6 930 P 06/30-07 47 8 2 50 71 SW 2 2 3 1 NNW 32 2568 W 12 52187 F 06/30-08 47 8 2 57 55 W 3 3 3 1 NNW 32 4954 NW 18103445 V 06/30-09 47 8 2 63 44 NW 5 5 3 1 NNW 32 7340 NW 24154703 E 06/30-10 47 8 2 67 39 NW 5 5 3 1 NW 32 7603 NW 22141069 V 06/30-11 47 8 2 69 37 N 5 5 3 1 NW 32 7867 NNW 18127435 V 06/30-12 59 31 10 70 36 N 5 5 3 4 NW 32 8130 NNW 16113801 V 06/30-13 59 31 10 70 37 N 5 5 3 4 NW 35 7577 NNW 15 99032 G 06/30-14 59 31 10 70 37 NNE 6 6 3 4 NNW 37 7024 NNW 14 84262 G 06/30-15 59 31 10 69 39 NE 6 6 3 4 NNW 39 6471 NNW 13 69493 G 06/30-16 59 31 10 68 40 NE 6 6 3 4 NNW 39 6761 NNW 10 62080 G 06/30-17 59 31 10 68 40 ENE 6 6 3 4 N 39 7052 N 9 54667 F 06/30-18 69 32 11 66 43 ENE 6 6 3 4 N 38 7342 N 7 47254 F 06/30-19 69 32 11 63 48 ENE 5 5 4 06/30-20 69 32 11 60 53 ENE 5 5 4 06/30-21 69 32 11 56 62 ENE 3 3 4 06/30-22 69 26 6 54 66 E 2 2 4 06/30-23 69 26 6 52 71 E 2 2 4 07/01-00 52 26 6 51 74 CALM 1 4 07/01-01 52 26 6 51 74 CALM 1 4 07/01-02 52 8 2 50 76 CALM 1 1 07/01-03 52 8 2 49 77 CALM 1 1 07/01-04 52 8 2 48 79 CALM 1 1 07/01-05 52 8 2 47 81 CALM 1 1 07/01-06 38 17 3 48 77 NNW 2 2 3 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...MATT DUTTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130628.BIGME.01/BOU