FNUS75 KBOU 291839 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OVER DUE HIKER...ALPINE RESCUE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1231 PM MDT SAT JUN 29 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1228 MDT ON JUNE 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE NICKEL SIZE HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...FROM ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH IN 30 MINUTES...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE AIRMASS SHOULD START TO STABILIZE AFTER 2200 THIS EVENING. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......10300-11300 FT AGL UNTIL 1500...THEN 7300-8300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................4. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........79%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 FROM 2200-0300...THEN 1. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OVER DUE HIKER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/29-12 50 18 4 67 34 NNE 6 6 3 3 NW 25 11794 NNW 7 66304 G 06/29-13 50 18 4 66 36 NNE 6 6 3 3 NW 26 10798 NNW 7 61035 G 06/29-14 70 43 20 66 37 ENE 6 6 3 4 NW 26 9803 N 7 55767 F 06/29-15 70 43 20 66 39 E 6 6 3 4 NW 28 8807 N 7 50499 F 06/29-16 70 43 20 65 41 E 6 6 3 4 NW 29 7812 NNE 7 45230 F 06/29-17 70 43 20 63 44 E 6 6 3 4 NW 29 6816 NE 7 39962 P 06/29-18 72 45 22 61 48 ESE 6 6 3 4 NW 30 5821 NE 7 34694 P 06/29-19 72 45 22 59 51 ESE 6 6 3 4 NW 29 4903 ENE 6 28963 P 06/29-20 72 45 22 56 57 ESE 5 5 3 4 NW 28 3984 E 5 23233 P 06/29-21 72 45 22 54 61 ESE 5 5 3 4 NNW 26 3066 ESE 3 17503 P 06/29-22 72 45 22 52 66 SE 5 5 3 4 NNW 25 2148 SE 2 11772 P 06/29-23 72 45 22 50 72 SE 5 5 3 4 N 24 1230 CALM 6042 P 06/30-00 55 10 2 49 74 SSE 5 5 3 2 N 23 311 CALM 311 P 06/30-01 55 10 2 48 75 S 5 5 3 2 N 24 311 CALM 311 P 06/30-02 55 10 2 48 73 SSW 6 6 3 2 NNW 24 311 CALM 311 P 06/30-03 55 6 1 47 74 SW 6 6 3 1 NNW 25 311 CALM 311 P 06/30-04 55 6 1 46 75 SW 6 6 3 1 NNW 25 311 CALM 311 P 06/30-05 55 6 1 45 78 WSW 5 5 3 1 NNW 26 311 CALM 311 P 06/30-06 52 7 1 45 79 WSW 5 5 3 1 NW 26 310 CALM 310 P 06/30-07 52 7 1 50 68 W 5 5 3 1 NW 25 1540 CALM 4470 P 06/30-08 52 7 1 55 59 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 24 2849 NW 3 9314 P 06/30-09 52 7 1 60 51 WNW 7 7 3 1 NNW 22 3998 NNW 3 12790 P 06/30-10 52 7 1 63 47 NW 7 7 3 1 NNW 24 4636 NNW 6 27396 P 06/30-11 52 7 1 63 46 N 8 8 2 1 NNW 25 5274 NNW 8 42001 F 06/30-12 52 44 21 63 46 N 8 8 2 4 NNW 28 5911 N 12 56607 F 06/30-13 52 44 21 62 48 N 8 8 2 4 NNW 28 6154 N 10 56784 F 06/30-14 83 44 21 62 48 NNE 8 8 2 4 NNW 28 6396 N 10 56961 F 06/30-15 83 44 21 61 50 NNE 8 8 2 4 NNW 28 6638 N 10 57139 F 06/30-16 83 44 21 60 52 NNE 8 8 2 4 N 26 6769 N 10 61592 G 06/30-17 83 44 21 59 55 NE 7 7 2 4 N 26 6901 N 12 66046 G 06/30-18 83 43 20 57 59 NE 7 7 2 4 N 25 7032 N 12 70499 G 06/30-19 88 43 20 55 63 ENE 7 7 2 4 N 28 5770 NNE 10 53152 F 06/30-20 88 43 20 53 65 E 7 7 2 4 N 29 4508 NE 8 35804 P 06/30-21 88 43 20 51 69 E 7 7 2 4 N 30 3246 NE 7 18456 P 06/30-22 88 43 20 50 71 SE 6 6 2 4 N 30 2651 NE 5 12784 P 06/30-23 88 43 20 48 77 S 3 3 3 4 N 29 2055 N 3 7111 P 07/01-00 70 15 3 47 80 SSW 2 2 3 3 N 29 1460 CALM 1438 P 07/01-01 70 15 3 47 78 SSW 2 2 3 3 N 29 1078 NW 2 1339 P 07/01-02 70 15 3 47 76 SW 3 3 3 3 N 29 697 W 3 1239 P 07/01-03 70 15 3 46 76 SW 5 5 3 3 N 29 315 WSW 5 1140 P 07/01-04 59 15 3 45 78 WSW 5 5 3 3 N 31 248 W 5 937 P 07/01-05 59 15 3 44 80 WNW 3 3 3 3 N 32 181 NW 5 734 P 07/01-06 59 19 4 45 76 NNW 3 3 3 3 N 33 114 NNW 6 531 P 07/01-07 59 19 4 49 66 NNW 3 3 3 3 N 35 2572 NNW 9 35036 P 07/01-08 59 19 4 54 56 NW 5 5 2 3 N 35 5029 N 13 69542 G 07/01-09 59 19 4 58 49 NW 6 6 2 3 N 36 7486 N 16104047 V 07/01-10 59 19 4 60 46 NNW 7 7 2 3 N 36 8384 N 16115655 V 07/01-11 59 19 4 61 44 NNE 9 9 2 3 N 36 9283 N 16127263 V 07/01-12 60 42 19 61 44 NE 10 16 2 4 N 36 10182 N 16138871 V 07/01-13 60 42 19 61 44 NE 12 17 2 4 N 32 8980 N 14112888 V 07/01-14 60 42 19 60 46 NE 12 17 2 4 N 30 7778 NNE 13 86905 G 07/01-15 60 42 19 59 47 NE 12 17 2 4 NNW 26 6576 NNE 10 60922 G 07/01-16 60 42 19 59 48 NE 12 17 2 4 N 31 6233 NNE 9 51364 F 07/01-17 60 42 19 57 52 NE 12 17 2 4 N 35 5889 NNE 8 41806 F 07/01-18 59 41 18 56 55 NE 10 16 2 4 N 39 5546 NNE 7 32248 P 07/01-19 59 41 18 54 59 ENE 9 9 2 4 N 41 4756 NE 6 25140 P 07/01-20 59 41 18 53 61 ESE 7 7 3 4 N 44 3966 E 5 18032 P 07/01-21 59 41 18 51 66 SE 6 6 3 4 N 45 3176 ESE 3 10924 P 07/01-22 59 41 18 50 68 SSE 5 5 3 4 N 46 2629 SE 3 8287 P 07/01-23 59 41 18 49 71 S 3 3 2 4 N 47 2082 SSW 2 5651 P 07/02-00 44 10 2 48 74 SSW 2 2 2 2 N 48 1536 SW 2 3014 P 07/02-01 44 10 2 48 73 SW 2 2 2 2 N 48 1195 WSW 2 2411 P 07/02-02 44 10 2 47 75 WSW 2 2 2 2 N 48 854 W 2 1808 P 07/02-03 44 10 2 47 74 W 3 3 2 2 N 49 513 W 2 1206 P 07/02-04 44 10 2 46 76 W 3 3 2 2 N 49 484 WNW 3 1353 P 07/02-05 44 10 2 45 78 WNW 5 5 2 2 N 51 454 NW 3 1501 P 07/02-06 45 17 3 46 73 NW 6 6 2 3 N 52 424 NNW 5 1649 P 07/02-07 45 17 3 49 64 NW 7 7 3 07/02-08 45 17 3 54 52 NNW 7 7 3 07/02-09 45 17 3 58 44 NNW 8 8 3 07/02-10 45 17 3 60 40 N 9 9 3 07/02-11 45 17 3 61 38 N 10 15 3 07/02-12 57 35 13 61 38 N 10 16 4 07/02-13 57 35 13 62 36 N 10 16 4 07/02-14 57 35 13 62 36 NNE 12 16 4 07/02-15 68 35 13 62 37 NNE 12 17 4 07/02-16 68 35 13 61 38 NNE 12 17 4 07/02-17 68 35 13 60 40 NNE 10 16 4 07/02-18 75 28 8 59 42 NNE 10 16 4 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...COOPER REQUESTED BY...STEVE WILSON TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130629.OVERD.01/BOU