FNUS75 KGJT 301044
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
444 AM MDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2041 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR DRY LIGHTNING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TO THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
MOISTURE WORKING AROUND THE RIDGE WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. MOST OF THE STORMS WILL BE DRY...GENERATING
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO NEAR 50 MPH AND LITTLE RAINFALL. SLIGHTLY
DRIER CONDITIONS MOVE IN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
STORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE HIGHER PEAKS NORTH OF
THE FIRE. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH BY 1100 AND INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    2-5 MPH BY 2200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    BY 0200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST BY 1100 AND INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH.
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0930...THEN INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130629.BULLG.01/GJT