FNUS75 KGJT 300429
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOVE CREEK FIRE...SAN JUAN BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1029 PM MDT SAT JUN 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2123 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...THE GRAND MESA RADAR SHOWS SOME ENHANCED CUMULUS
APPROACHING THE FIRE SITE AT 2220 HOURS. SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE
BUT THESE CELLS WILL MOST LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND
PERHAPS A LIGHTNING STRIKE. I CANNOT RULE OUT ANOTHER STORM LATER
TONIGHT. STORMS ARE MOVING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH
SO REMAIN SITUATIONALLY AWARE. CALL OUR OFFICE AT 970-243-7007 0
FOR REAL TIME RADAR INFORMATION. RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR TONIGHT.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ON SUNDAY WITH STORMS FORMING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT AFTER NOON
FOR DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS POSSIBLE
                    MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. OTHERWISE LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE FAVORING NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 6.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT DODGEM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130629.DOVEC.01/GJT