FNUS75 KBOU 301225 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 625 AM MDT SUN JUN 30 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0608 MDT ON JUNE 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE AREA. THERE IS SOME MOISTURE EXPECTED...SO THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WINDS COULD BE A PROBLEM CAUSED BY THE STORMS...BUT WETTING RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE SIMILAR OR A BIT HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY'S VALUES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0900...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-12 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AFTER 0900. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7000-8000 FT AGL AFTER 0900. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH UP TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40-47. MAX HUMIDITY........85-95%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AFTER 0900. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AFTER 0900. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 6700-7700 FT AGL AFTER 0900. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/30-06 52 10 2 47 80 CALM 0 3 1 NW 15 427 W 2 967 P 06/30-07 52 10 2 51 69 CALM 1 3 1 NW 15 3322 WNW 6 31919 P 06/30-08 52 10 2 57 56 WNW 3 3 3 1 NW 15 6216 NW 9 62870 G 06/30-09 52 16 3 62 47 NNW 5 5 3 3 NW 16 9110 NNW 12 93822 G 06/30-10 52 16 3 66 42 NNW 5 5 3 3 NW 18 8776 NNW 12 88155 G 06/30-11 52 16 3 68 40 N 5 5 3 3 NW 21 8441 NNW 12 82488 G 06/30-12 67 31 10 69 39 N 5 5 3 4 NW 23 8107 NNW 10 76821 G 06/30-13 67 31 10 69 39 NNE 5 5 3 4 NNW 24 7966 N 9 63613 G 06/30-14 67 31 10 69 39 NE 6 6 3 4 NNW 25 7825 N 7 50406 F 06/30-15 67 42 19 68 40 NE 6 6 3 4 N 28 7685 N 6 37198 P 06/30-16 67 42 19 67 41 ENE 6 6 3 4 N 31 7112 N 5 29517 P 06/30-17 67 42 19 65 43 E 7 7 3 4 N 37 6539 N 3 21835 P 06/30-18 68 41 18 63 46 E 7 7 3 4 N 40 5966 NNE 2 14154 P 06/30-19 68 41 18 60 51 E 7 7 3 4 N 44 4785 NE 3 12963 P 06/30-20 68 41 18 56 59 E 6 6 3 4 N 45 3603 E 5 11773 P 06/30-21 68 19 4 53 65 E 5 5 3 3 N 46 2421 ESE 5 10582 P 06/30-22 68 19 4 50 72 E 3 3 3 3 N 45 1766 ESE 5 7390 P 06/30-23 68 19 4 48 77 ESE 2 2 3 3 N 44 1111 SE 3 4198 P 07/01-00 53 11 2 47 80 CALM 1 3 1 N 41 456 SE 2 1006 P 07/01-01 53 11 2 46 81 CALM 1 3 1 N 39 408 S 2 910 P 07/01-02 53 11 2 45 82 N 2 2 3 1 N 37 359 W 2 814 P 07/01-03 53 11 2 44 83 NNW 2 2 3 1 N 35 310 NW 2 718 P 07/01-04 53 11 2 43 84 NNW 2 2 3 1 N 33 366 NW 3 1327 P 07/01-05 53 11 2 42 86 N 2 2 3 1 N 32 422 N 5 1937 P 07/01-06 49 8 2 43 82 N 2 2 3 1 N 32 479 N 6 2547 P 07/01-07 49 8 2 47 71 N 3 3 3 1 N 32 2796 N 9 30825 P 07/01-08 49 8 2 53 58 N 5 5 3 1 N 32 5114 N 12 59104 F 07/01-09 49 8 2 59 47 NNE 7 7 3 1 N 33 7431 N 14 87383 G 07/01-10 49 8 2 63 41 NNE 7 7 3 1 NNW 33 8243 N 12 84057 G 07/01-11 49 8 2 66 36 ENE 6 6 3 1 NNW 32 9055 N 10 80730 G 07/01-12 55 34 13 67 34 ENE 5 5 3 4 NNW 32 9867 N 9 77404 G 07/01-13 55 34 13 68 33 ENE 6 6 3 4 NNW 33 8836 N 8 60216 G 07/01-14 55 34 13 68 34 E 6 6 2 4 NNW 35 7804 N 6 43028 F 07/01-15 55 34 13 67 36 E 7 7 2 4 NNW 36 6772 N 5 25841 P 07/01-16 55 34 13 67 36 E 6 6 2 4 NNW 38 6544 N 5 25681 P 07/01-17 55 34 13 65 39 ENE 6 6 2 4 N 41 6315 N 5 25520 P 07/01-18 57 23 5 63 43 ENE 5 5 2 4 N 45 6087 N 5 25360 P 07/01-19 57 23 5 59 49 ENE 5 5 2 4 N 46 4962 NE 6 22152 P 07/01-20 57 23 5 56 55 ENE 6 6 3 4 N 46 3837 E 6 18944 P 07/01-21 57 23 5 52 64 ENE 6 6 3 4 N 47 2713 ESE 7 15736 P 07/01-22 57 23 5 50 69 ENE 6 6 3 4 N 45 2108 ESE 5 11024 P 07/01-23 57 23 5 49 71 ENE 5 5 2 4 N 43 1503 ESE 3 6313 P 07/02-00 39 8 2 48 74 ENE 3 3 2 1 N 40 898 E 2 1602 P 07/02-01 39 8 2 47 76 NE 2 2 2 1 N 40 667 E 2 1261 P 07/02-02 39 8 2 46 78 NNE 2 2 2 1 N 39 435 NNE 2 921 P 07/02-03 39 8 2 45 79 N 2 2 2 1 N 38 204 N 3 581 P 07/02-04 39 8 2 44 82 N 2 2 2 1 N 39 269 N 3 867 P 07/02-05 39 8 2 43 84 NNW 3 3 2 1 N 40 334 N 3 1153 P 07/02-06 38 8 2 44 79 NW 5 5 2 1 N 40 399 N 5 1439 P 07/02-07 38 8 2 48 66 NNW 5 5 2 1 N 40 2184 N 7 23913 P 07/02-08 38 8 2 54 52 NNW 6 6 2 1 N 41 3969 N 10 46387 F 07/02-09 38 8 2 59 42 NNW 6 6 2 1 N 41 5755 N 14 68861 G 07/02-10 38 8 2 63 36 N 6 6 2 1 N 39 6991 N 13 76656 G 07/02-11 38 8 2 66 32 NNE 6 6 3 1 N 38 8226 N 12 84451 G 07/02-12 50 16 3 67 31 NE 6 6 3 3 N 37 9462 N 12 92245 G 07/02-13 50 16 3 68 29 NE 7 7 3 3 N 35 9383 N 10 80872 G 07/02-14 50 16 3 68 29 NNE 8 8 3 3 N 33 9304 N 8 69500 G 07/02-15 50 16 3 67 31 NNE 9 14 3 3 N 31 9225 N 7 58127 F 07/02-16 50 16 3 66 32 NNE 9 9 3 3 N 33 8476 N 6 44675 F 07/02-17 50 16 3 65 34 NE 8 8 3 3 N 35 7726 NNE 5 31222 P 07/02-18 58 10 2 63 37 NE 7 7 3 2 N 36 6977 NNE 3 17770 P 07/02-19 58 10 2 59 42 NE 6 6 3 2 N 37 5429 NE 3 15168 P 07/02-20 58 10 2 56 47 NE 5 5 3 2 N 38 3882 E 5 12565 P 07/02-21 58 10 2 53 52 NNE 3 3 3 2 N 39 2334 ESE 5 9963 P 07/02-22 58 10 2 51 56 NNE 2 2 3 2 N 39 1681 SE 3 6677 P 07/02-23 58 10 2 49 61 CALM 1 3 2 N 38 1027 SSE 2 3392 P 07/03-00 27 4 1 48 63 CALM 1 3 1 N 38 373 CALM 107 P 07/03-01 27 4 1 47 65 CALM 1 3 1 N 37 385 SSW 2 694 P 07/03-02 27 4 1 47 65 CALM 1 3 1 N 37 396 W 3 1281 P 07/03-03 27 4 1 46 67 N 2 2 3 1 N 36 407 NW 6 1869 P 07/03-04 27 4 1 44 72 NNW 3 3 3 1 N 36 388 NW 6 2035 P 07/03-05 27 4 1 43 74 NNW 3 3 3 1 N 37 369 NNW 7 2202 P 07/03-06 27 4 1 44 70 NW 5 5 3 1 N 37 350 NNW 8 2368 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RJK REQUESTED BY...MATT DUTTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130630.BIGME.01/BOU