FNUS75 KBOU 301718 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAVOIS FIRE...JEFFCO SHERIFF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1114 AM MDT SUN JUN 30 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1054 MDT ON JUNE 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE AREA. THERE IS SOME MOISTURE EXPECTED...SO THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WINDS COULD BE A PROBLEM CAUSED BY THE STORMS...BUT WETTING RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE SIMILAR OR A BIT HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY'S VALUES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. MIN HUMIDITY........35-45%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-8100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6900 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TRAVOIS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/30-11 52 10 2 75 42 NE 5 5 3 2 NNW 17 6894 N 7 52538 F 06/30-12 52 27 7 75 43 NE 6 6 3 4 NNW 17 9063 N 10 77315 G 06/30-13 52 27 7 75 43 NE 6 6 3 4 NNW 20 8377 N 9 69071 G 06/30-14 73 27 7 75 43 ENE 6 6 2 4 NNW 22 7691 N 9 60826 G 06/30-15 73 29 8 75 43 ENE 6 6 2 4 NNW 25 7004 N 9 52581 F 06/30-16 73 29 8 74 45 ENE 6 6 2 4 N 28 6994 N 8 46842 F 06/30-17 73 29 8 73 46 E 5 5 3 4 N 30 6983 N 7 41103 F 06/30-18 73 29 8 72 48 E 5 5 3 4 N 32 6973 N 6 35364 P 06/30-19 73 29 8 69 52 E 3 3 3 4 N 35 5719 NNE 5 26611 P 06/30-20 69 29 8 66 57 ESE 2 2 3 4 N 38 4465 E 5 17859 P 06/30-21 69 10 2 64 60 SE 2 2 3 2 N 39 3211 ESE 3 9107 P 06/30-22 69 10 2 62 64 SSE 2 2 3 2 N 38 2266 SE 3 6358 P 06/30-23 69 10 2 60 68 SW 3 3 3 2 N 36 1321 SSW 2 3608 P 07/01-00 39 12 2 58 72 WSW 3 3 3 1 N 33 376 SW 2 859 P 07/01-01 39 12 2 57 73 WSW 3 3 3 1 N 32 349 SW 3 876 P 07/01-02 39 12 2 56 73 WSW 5 5 3 1 N 30 322 SW 3 893 P 07/01-03 39 12 2 55 74 W 5 5 3 1 N 30 295 SW 3 911 P 07/01-04 39 12 2 53 78 W 5 5 3 1 N 29 258 SW 3 775 P 07/01-05 39 12 2 52 80 W 5 5 3 1 N 29 221 WSW 3 639 P 07/01-06 38 10 2 53 77 W 5 5 3 1 N 30 184 W 3 504 P 07/01-07 38 10 2 57 70 WNW 5 5 3 1 N 30 2285 WNW 6 21555 P 07/01-08 38 10 2 62 62 N 5 5 3 1 N 30 4385 NNW 9 42606 F 07/01-09 38 10 2 67 54 N 5 5 3 1 N 31 6486 N 12 63657 G 07/01-10 38 10 2 71 48 N 6 6 3 1 N 31 7472 N 12 78210 G 07/01-11 38 10 2 72 45 NNE 6 6 3 1 N 31 8457 N 13 92762 G 07/01-12 46 36 14 73 43 NNE 7 7 3 4 N 32 9443 N 13107315 V 07/01-13 46 36 14 74 40 NNE 7 7 3 4 NNW 30 8900 N 13 95123 G 07/01-14 46 36 14 74 39 NE 8 8 2 4 NNW 28 8357 N 12 82930 G 07/01-15 46 36 14 74 38 NE 8 8 2 4 NNW 26 7815 N 10 70738 G 07/01-16 46 36 14 73 38 NE 8 8 2 4 NNW 30 7622 N 9 62511 G 07/01-17 46 36 14 72 39 NE 8 8 3 4 NNW 33 7430 NNE 8 54285 F 07/01-18 50 23 5 71 39 NE 8 8 3 4 N 37 7237 NNE 7 46058 F 07/01-19 50 23 5 68 44 ENE 8 8 3 4 N 38 6021 NNE 7 35987 P 07/01-20 50 23 5 65 49 E 7 7 2 4 N 38 4806 ENE 6 25915 P 07/01-21 50 23 5 62 56 ESE 6 6 2 4 N 39 3590 E 5 15844 P 07/01-22 50 23 5 60 60 SE 5 5 2 4 N 38 2533 ESE 5 10803 P 07/01-23 50 23 5 58 65 S 5 5 3 4 N 37 1475 SSW 3 5763 P 07/02-00 29 8 2 57 67 S 3 3 3 1 N 35 418 WSW 2 722 P 07/02-01 29 8 2 55 71 SSW 2 2 3 1 N 36 410 W 2 699 P 07/02-02 29 8 2 53 75 SW 2 2 2 1 N 36 401 W 2 675 P 07/02-03 29 8 2 52 77 WSW 2 2 2 1 N 36 393 W 2 652 P 07/02-04 29 8 2 50 82 WSW 2 2 2 1 N 37 381 W 2 686 P 07/02-05 29 8 2 50 81 W 3 3 2 1 N 37 369 WNW 2 721 P 07/02-06 24 8 2 52 74 W 5 5 2 1 N 37 357 NW 2 755 P 07/02-07 24 8 2 57 61 WNW 6 6 2 1 N 37 2146 NW 5 15979 P 07/02-08 24 8 2 63 49 NNW 7 7 2 1 N 38 3935 N 7 31202 P 07/02-09 24 8 2 69 39 NNW 8 8 2 1 N 38 5724 N 9 46425 F 07/02-10 24 8 2 72 34 N 8 8 2 1 N 37 6550 N 9 55227 F 07/02-11 24 8 2 74 32 NE 8 8 2 1 N 37 7376 N 10 64029 G 07/02-12 43 18 4 75 31 ENE 8 8 2 3 N 36 8201 N 10 72831 G 07/02-13 43 18 4 75 31 ENE 8 8 2 3 N 36 8505 N 10 73041 G 07/02-14 43 18 4 76 32 NE 9 9 2 3 N 35 8810 N 9 73252 G 07/02-15 43 18 4 76 33 NE 9 14 2 3 NNW 35 9114 NNE 9 73463 G 07/02-16 43 18 4 76 35 NE 9 9 2 3 NNW 33 8625 NNE 8 62489 G 07/02-17 43 18 4 74 39 NE 8 8 3 3 N 32 8136 NNE 7 51515 F 07/02-18 47 10 2 73 41 NE 7 7 3 2 N 31 7646 NNE 6 40540 F 07/02-19 47 10 2 70 46 NNE 6 6 3 2 N 32 6129 NE 6 30353 P 07/02-20 47 10 2 68 49 N 6 6 3 2 N 33 4611 ENE 5 20165 P 07/02-21 47 10 2 65 54 NNW 5 5 3 2 N 35 3093 E 3 9977 P 07/02-22 47 10 2 63 57 NW 3 3 3 2 N 33 2242 ESE 3 6910 P 07/02-23 47 10 2 61 59 W 2 2 3 2 N 33 1391 SSW 2 3844 P 07/03-00 23 5 1 60 60 WSW 2 2 3 1 N 32 540 CALM 777 P 07/03-01 23 5 1 59 60 WSW 2 2 3 1 N 32 473 WSW 2 884 P 07/03-02 23 5 1 57 63 WSW 2 2 3 1 N 32 406 WSW 3 990 P 07/03-03 23 5 1 56 63 W 3 3 3 1 N 32 339 WSW 3 1096 P 07/03-04 23 5 1 54 66 W 5 5 3 1 N 33 324 WSW 3 1041 P 07/03-05 23 5 1 53 67 W 5 5 3 1 N 35 310 W 3 987 P 07/03-06 23 5 1 54 64 W 6 6 3 1 N 36 296 WNW 3 933 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RJK REQUESTED BY...CLINT FEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130630.TRAVO.01/BOU