FNUS75 KGJT 302309
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
509 PM MDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1629 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EAST AND SOUTH
OF THE BURN SITE BUT THERE IS ANOTHER LINE OF STORMS IN
SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING MOVING SOUTH THAT COULD EFFECT THE FIRE SITE
THIS LATE AFTERNOON. STORM MOTION IS TO THE SOUTH AT 15 MPH. THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE SMALL CORES PRODUCING WETTING RAINS BUT
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES OUTSIDE OF THE SHOWERS ARE LIKELY. THIS
ACTIVITY WEILL LIKELY END WITH SUNSET AND THE RED FLAG WILL BE
CANCELLED. DRIER AIR IS WORKING OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO TONIGHT.
THIS WILL ALLOW MODERATE INVERSIONS TO SET UP OVERNIGHT WITH
RELATIVELY GOOD RH RECOVERY. MONDAY WILL BE DRIER WITH NO MENTION
OF THUNDERSTORMS. BUT REMAIN AWARE OF ANY VIRGA OR BUILDUPS
APPROACHING THE FIRE SITE FROM THE NORTH THAT COULD PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS.

.THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED STORMS EAST AND SOUTH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 3-8 MPH WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                    SHOWERS AND STORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900
                    INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130630.BULLG.01/GJT