FNUS75 KABQ 021644
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARAGON...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1044 AM MDT TUE JUL 2 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. STORMS WILL TEND TO MOVE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST TODAY AND THEN MORE NORTH TO SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY. SOME
OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN WETTING RAIN BUT CANT ASSURE THE FIRE
AREA WILL BE AFFECTED BY WETTING RAIN. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WOULD
BE THE MAIN CONCERN. WINDS WILL TEND TO BE TERRAIN DRIVEN INITIALLY
TODAY BUT THEN BECOME MORE VARIABLE DUE TO SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
INFLUENCES DURING THE AFTERNOON.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF MOSTLY
                       CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-81.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 26-31 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/76657 KNOT-FT AT 1300 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/41037 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/57000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING. PARTIAL
                       CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48-52.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 75-80 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE WINDS INITIALLY DUE TO
                       DECAYING THUNDERSTORMS BUT THEN DEVELOPING
                       EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/40000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/3500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79-83.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 32-37 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/57500 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/32056 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/57500 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC STEWART
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130702.ARAGO.01/ABQ