FNUS75 KABQ 021756
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARAGON...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1156 AM MDT TUE JUL 2 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
STORMS WILL BEGIN FIRING UP IN SHORT ORDER AND TEND TO MOVE FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH OR NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. SIMILAR FLOW AND STORM
COVERAGE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. STORMS WILL BE MOVING AT A FAST
CLIP TODAY SO MORE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS AND
MULTIPLE AFFECTS FROM PASSING STORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
CONTAIN A WETTING RAIN FOOTPRINT. WIND WILL TEND TO BE TERRAIN
DOMINATED AND LIGHTER INITIALLY BUT THEN AS THE STORMS DEVELOP
AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREATER AREA...WINDS WILL BECOME ERRATIC
AND GUSTIER. SINCE THE STORMS ARE MOVE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH A
NORTHERLY WIND EFFECT IS VERY POSSIBLE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF MOSTLY
                       CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79-83.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 7 MPH. EXPECT
                       MORE VARIABLE AND GUSTIER WIND AS THE
                       AFTERNOON PROGRESSES DUE TO SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/76657 KNOT-FT AT 1300 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/41037 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/57000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 75-80 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE WINDS INITIALLY DUE TO DECAYING
                       THUNDERSTORMS BUT THEN DEVELOPING
                       EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/40000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/3500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY TO OCCASIONALLY MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                       SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81-85.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 28-33 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                       MORNING BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS
                       THAN 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/57557 KNOT-FT AT 1400 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/29333 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/57500 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...LOOKOUT
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130702.ARAGO.02/ABQ