FNUS75 KBOU 022337 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ALPS MOUNTAIN ROAD WILDFIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 537 PM MDT TUE JUL 2 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1642 MDT ON JULY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM AND DRIFT SOUTH OVER THE FRONT RANGE NOW THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. A THUNDERSTORM WAS JUST NORTH OF THE WILDFIRE AS OF 5:30 PM MDT. THIS STORM WILL PASS OVER THE FIRE BEFORE 6 PM MDT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH...UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THE FIRE AREA MAY BE VISITED BY ANOTHER STORM BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN AND MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA AFTER 8 PM. ON WEDNESDAY...EXPECT A DRIER DAY WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN NIGHT AND DAY TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70...COOLING TO THE MID 50S WITH PASSING RAIN SHOWERS. MIN HUMIDITY........28-34%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................25 PERCENT. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7700 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 8-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8500-9400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ALPS MOUNTAIN ROAD WILDFIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/02-17 74 23 5 64 38 NE 12 12 4 2 N 30 7744 N 6 34905 P 07/02-18 73 27 7 67 36 ENE 5 5 3 3 N 29 7760 N 5 33945 P 07/02-19 73 27 7 65 38 ESE 3 3 3 3 N 28 6484 N 5 25534 P 07/02-20 73 27 7 62 44 CALM 1 3 3 N 26 5209 ENE 3 17123 P 07/02-21 44 10 2 58 51 W 3 3 3 2 N 25 3933 E 2 8713 P 07/02-22 44 10 2 54 59 WSW 3 3 3 2 N 25 3481 E 2 6718 P 07/02-23 44 10 2 52 63 WSW 5 5 3 2 N 25 3028 CALM 4724 P 07/03-00 25 5 1 49 71 WSW 3 3 3 1 N 25 2576 CALM 2730 P 07/03-01 25 5 1 47 76 WSW 5 5 3 1 N 25 2128 S 2 3252 P 07/03-02 25 5 1 46 76 WSW 6 6 3 1 N 25 1681 SW 3 3773 P 07/03-03 25 5 1 45 76 W 7 7 3 1 N 24 1233 WSW 3 4295 P 07/03-04 25 5 1 44 73 W 7 7 3 1 N 25 970 W 5 3424 P 07/03-05 25 5 1 43 70 W 7 7 3 1 N 26 707 WNW 5 2554 P 07/03-06 31 0 0 42 70 W 7 7 3 1 N 28 444 NW 5 1684 P 07/03-07 31 0 0 44 70 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 29 2403 NNW 7 24214 P 07/03-08 31 0 0 52 54 N 8 8 3 1 N 31 4362 N 10 46745 F 07/03-09 31 0 0 65 37 N 8 8 3 1 N 32 6320 N 13 69276 G 07/03-10 31 2 0 66 36 N 8 8 4 1 N 32 7332 N 13 81749 G 07/03-11 31 2 0 68 32 N 9 9 4 1 N 32 8344 N 13 94223 G 07/03-12 54 23 5 72 27 NNE 9 9 4 3 N 33 9356 N 13 106697 V 07/03-13 54 23 5 68 31 NNE 10 10 4 3 N 32 9080 N 12 88469 G 07/03-14 54 23 5 67 33 NE 12 12 4 3 N 30 8805 N 9 70242 G 07/03-15 54 23 5 66 34 NE 10 10 4 3 N 29 8529 N 7 52014 F 07/03-16 54 23 5 67 33 NE 7 7 4 3 N 29 8641 N 8 56985 F 07/03-17 54 23 5 66 33 NE 7 7 3 3 N 28 8753 N 8 61956 G 07/03-18 59 10 2 66 33 NE 7 7 3 2 N 28 8865 N 9 66926 G 07/03-19 59 10 2 63 36 NE 5 5 3 2 N 26 6970 N 7 47305 F 07/03-20 59 10 2 60 42 NE 2 2 4 2 N 26 5075 NNE 5 27684 P 07/03-21 48 9 2 57 47 CALM 1 4 1 N 25 3180 NNE 3 8063 P 07/03-22 48 9 2 54 53 CALM 1 4 1 N 25 2649 NNE 2 5807 P 07/03-23 48 9 2 52 57 CALM 1 3 1 N 26 2118 CALM 3552 P 07/04-00 30 0 0 51 59 W 2 2 3 1 N 26 1587 CALM 1296 P 07/04-01 30 0 0 50 60 W 3 3 3 1 N 26 1256 NNW 2 1690 P 07/04-02 30 0 0 50 60 W 3 3 3 1 N 26 925 NW 3 2085 P 07/04-03 31 0 0 49 61 W 5 5 3 1 N 26 593 WNW 5 2479 P 07/04-04 31 0 0 47 64 W 5 5 3 1 N 26 577 NW 6 2761 P 07/04-05 31 0 0 46 64 W 6 6 3 1 N 26 561 NNW 6 3042 P 07/04-06 32 0 0 48 58 W 6 6 3 1 N 26 545 NNW 7 3323 P 07/04-07 32 0 0 53 47 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 28 3162 N 10 45441 F 07/04-08 32 0 0 61 35 NNW 6 6 3 1 N 29 5779 N 14 87558 G 07/04-09 30 0 0 67 28 N 6 6 3 1 N 29 8396 N 17 129675 V 07/04-10 30 0 0 71 24 N 6 6 3 1 N 29 8759 N 16 125977 V 07/04-11 30 0 0 72 24 NNE 7 7 3 1 N 29 9123 N 15 122279 V 07/04-12 53 25 5 73 23 NE 7 7 3 4 N 29 9487 N 14 118581 V 07/04-13 53 25 5 73 23 NE 7 7 3 4 N 24 9351 N 12 95675 G 07/04-14 53 25 5 74 23 NE 7 7 3 4 N 21 9215 N 9 72770 G 07/04-15 52 25 5 74 23 NE 7 7 3 4 N 16 9079 N 6 49864 F 07/04-16 52 25 5 73 25 NE 6 6 3 4 N 14 8594 N 5 37587 P 07/04-17 52 25 5 71 27 NE 6 6 3 4 N 12 8108 NNW 3 25310 P 07/04-18 53 25 5 68 31 NE 5 5 3 4 N 10 7623 NW 2 13033 P 07/04-19 53 25 5 65 34 E 3 3 3 4 NNW 9 7233 WNW 2 14218 P 07/04-20 53 25 5 62 38 SE 2 2 3 4 WNW 8 6844 WSW 2 15403 P 07/04-21 55 25 5 60 41 SSE 2 2 3 4 W 7 6455 SW 3 16588 P 07/04-22 55 25 5 57 45 S 2 2 3 4 WNW 10 5770 SW 5 21137 P 07/04-23 55 25 5 55 49 SSW 3 3 3 4 NW 15 5084 SSW 6 25686 P 07/05-00 39 0 0 54 50 SW 5 5 3 1 NW 20 4399 SSW 8 30234 P 07/05-01 39 0 0 53 52 SW 5 5 3 1 NW 18 3120 SW 8 21413 P 07/05-02 39 0 0 53 52 WSW 6 6 3 1 NW 17 1840 SW 8 12591 P 07/05-03 39 0 0 52 54 WSW 6 6 3 1 NW 17 561 SW 8 3770 P 07/05-04 39 0 0 50 59 WSW 6 6 3 1 NW 16 467 WSW 7 3076 P 07/05-05 39 0 0 49 62 WSW 7 7 3 1 NNW 16 373 W 7 2383 P 07/05-06 58 4 1 51 59 W 7 7 3 1 NNW 15 280 W 7 1689 P 07/05-07 58 4 1 57 48 W 7 7 3 1 NW 14 3060 W 8 25278 P 07/05-08 58 4 1 65 36 W 6 6 3 1 NW 14 5841 WNW 9 48868 F 07/05-09 58 4 1 73 28 W 5 5 3 1 NW 13 8622 NW 9 72457 G 07/05-10 58 4 1 77 25 W 3 3 3 1 NW 14 8655 NW 9 66084 G 07/05-11 58 4 1 78 24 WNW 2 2 3 1 WNW 14 8687 WNW 8 59711 F 07/05-12 70 19 4 78 25 WNW 2 2 3 3 WNW 15 8720 WNW 7 53338 F 07/05-13 70 19 4 77 27 WNW 2 2 3 3 WNW 14 8539 W 8 56680 F 07/05-14 70 19 4 76 29 WNW 3 3 3 3 W 14 8358 W 8 60021 G 07/05-15 70 19 4 75 32 WNW 3 3 3 3 W 14 8177 W 9 63363 G 07/05-16 70 19 4 74 35 WNW 3 3 3 3 W 13 7724 W 9 61405 G 07/05-17 70 19 4 73 37 WNW 5 5 3 3 W 13 7270 W 9 59446 F 07/05-18 71 20 4 70 42 WNW 5 5 3 3 W 12 6817 W 9 57488 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SERGEANT SAFE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130702.ALPSM.01/BOU