FNUS75 KBOU 021238 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 638 AM MDT TUE JUL 2 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0557 MDT ON JULY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO YESTERDAY ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE TODAY ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE LOOKS TO BE LESS AS MOST OF THE GOOD MOISTURE IS SOUTH OF THE FIRE AREA. AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS COULD BRING UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN...UNLESS A STRONGER STORM PASSES OVER WHICH COULD BRING UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH COULD ALSO BE PRODUCED FROM THESE STORMS. STORM MOTION WILL BE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AGAIN AT 20 TO 25 MPH. WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL FEATURE A SLOW WARM UP WITH CONTINUED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE DECREASING SO COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE LESS AND WITH LESS RAIN EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69 NEAR 9000 FT...AROUND 60 NEAR 12000. MIN HUMIDITY........28% NEAR 9000 FT...35% NEAR 12000 FT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46. MAX HUMIDITY........77-83%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72 NEAR 9000 FT...AROUND 63 NEAR 12000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........24% NEAR 9000 FT...31% NEAR 12000 FT. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/02-06 39 8 2 43 82 NNW 3 3 2 1 N 40 371 N 6 1750 P 07/02-07 39 8 2 47 69 N 5 5 2 1 N 40 2339 N 9 28558 P 07/02-08 39 8 2 52 56 N 5 5 2 1 N 40 4308 N 12 55366 F 07/02-09 39 8 2 58 43 N 6 6 2 1 N 39 6276 N 15 82174 G 07/02-10 39 8 2 62 36 N 6 6 2 1 N 39 7501 N 15 93038 G 07/02-11 39 8 2 65 32 NNE 7 7 3 1 N 38 8725 N 14103901 V 07/02-12 65 18 4 67 29 NE 7 7 3 3 N 36 9950 N 14114764 V 07/02-13 65 18 4 68 28 NE 7 7 3 3 N 32 10288 N 12103255 V 07/02-14 65 18 4 68 29 NE 8 13 3 3 N 29 10626 N 10 91745 G 07/02-15 65 18 4 68 29 NE 8 13 3 3 N 25 10964 N 8 80235 G 07/02-16 65 18 4 67 31 NE 8 13 3 3 N 24 10759 N 8 71533 G 07/02-17 65 18 4 65 34 NE 8 8 3 3 NNW 24 10553 N 7 62830 G 07/02-18 52 10 2 63 37 NE 7 7 3 2 NNW 25 10348 N 6 54127 F 07/02-19 52 10 2 60 41 ENE 6 6 3 2 N 26 7695 NE 6 39808 P 07/02-20 52 10 2 56 47 E 6 6 3 2 N 28 5041 E 6 25490 P 07/02-21 49 7 1 53 53 E 5 5 3 1 N 29 2388 ESE 6 11171 P 07/02-22 49 7 1 50 59 E 3 3 3 1 N 30 2623 S 3 8250 P 07/02-23 49 7 1 48 63 E 2 2 3 1 N 30 2858 WSW 2 5329 P 07/03-00 26 4 1 47 65 E 2 2 3 1 N 30 3094 CALM 2408 P 07/03-01 26 4 1 46 68 NE 2 2 3 1 N 31 2324 WNW 2 2933 P 07/03-02 26 4 1 45 70 NNW 2 2 3 1 N 31 1553 WNW 5 3458 P 07/03-03 26 4 1 44 72 NW 3 3 3 1 N 32 783 NW 6 3984 P 07/03-04 26 4 1 43 74 NW 5 5 3 1 N 32 656 NW 7 3606 P 07/03-05 26 4 1 42 76 NW 5 5 3 1 N 32 529 NNW 7 3229 P 07/03-06 32 0 0 43 73 NW 6 6 3 1 N 32 402 NNW 8 2851 P 07/03-07 32 0 0 48 60 NW 6 6 3 1 N 33 2160 N 10 25643 P 07/03-08 32 0 0 54 48 NNW 7 7 2 1 N 33 3919 N 13 48434 F 07/03-09 32 0 0 61 38 N 7 7 2 1 N 33 5677 N 15 71226 G 07/03-10 32 0 0 65 32 N 7 7 2 1 N 33 7384 N 14 87703 G 07/03-11 32 0 0 68 29 N 8 8 3 1 N 33 9092 N 14104181 V 07/03-12 52 21 4 70 26 N 8 8 3 3 N 35 10799 N 13120659 V 07/03-13 52 21 4 71 25 N 8 8 3 3 N 31 10497 N 12106622 V 07/03-14 52 21 4 72 24 NNE 7 7 3 3 N 29 10194 N 10 92586 G 07/03-15 52 21 4 72 24 NNE 7 7 3 3 N 26 9892 N 9 78550 G 07/03-16 52 21 4 71 24 NNE 8 8 3 3 N 28 9620 N 9 73138 G 07/03-17 52 21 4 69 26 NNE 9 9 3 3 N 28 9348 N 8 67727 G 07/03-18 52 10 2 66 29 NNE 9 9 3 2 N 29 9077 N 8 62316 G 07/03-19 52 10 2 62 34 NNE 8 8 3 2 N 30 6421 NE 6 42374 F 07/03-20 52 10 2 58 40 NE 6 6 3 2 N 32 3766 E 5 22433 P 07/03-21 52 10 2 54 47 NE 3 3 3 2 N 35 1111 SE 2 2491 P 07/03-22 52 10 2 52 50 NNE 2 2 3 2 N 33 899 S 2 1920 P 07/03-23 52 10 2 50 54 CALM 1 3 2 N 32 687 W 2 1349 P 07/04-00 16 0 0 50 54 CALM 1 3 1 NNE 30 475 WNW 2 778 P 07/04-01 16 0 0 49 56 NNW 2 2 3 1 NNE 30 448 NW 5 1480 P 07/04-02 16 0 0 49 56 NW 3 3 3 1 N 29 421 NNW 6 2182 P 07/04-03 16 0 0 48 58 NW 5 5 3 1 N 29 394 N 8 2884 P 07/04-04 16 0 0 46 62 NW 5 5 3 1 N 29 385 N 8 2820 P 07/04-05 16 0 0 45 63 NW 5 5 4 1 N 28 376 N 8 2757 P 07/04-06 42 0 0 46 60 NW 5 5 4 1 N 28 367 N 8 2694 P 07/04-07 42 0 0 50 52 NW 6 6 4 1 N 29 2310 N 12 30637 P 07/04-08 42 0 0 57 40 NNW 7 7 3 1 N 30 4253 N 14 58581 F 07/04-09 42 0 0 63 32 N 7 7 3 1 N 30 6195 NNE 16 86524 G 07/04-10 42 0 0 68 27 N 7 7 3 1 N 29 7810 NNE 15 97692 G 07/04-11 42 0 0 70 25 N 6 6 3 1 N 29 9425 NNE 14108860 V 07/04-12 54 26 6 71 24 N 5 5 3 4 N 28 11040 NNE 13120027 V 07/04-13 54 26 6 72 24 N 5 5 3 4 N 23 10938 NNE 12104895 V 07/04-14 54 26 6 72 25 NNE 5 5 3 4 N 18 10836 NNE 9 89763 G 07/04-15 54 26 6 71 27 NNE 5 5 3 4 NNW 14 10733 NNE 8 74630 G 07/04-16 54 26 6 70 29 NNE 5 5 3 4 NNW 14 9971 NNE 7 62824 G 07/04-17 54 26 6 69 30 NE 3 3 3 4 NNW 14 9209 NE 6 51017 F 07/04-18 52 26 6 66 34 NE 3 3 3 4 NNW 14 8446 NE 6 39210 P 07/04-19 52 26 6 63 38 ENE 3 3 4 07/04-20 52 26 6 60 42 ESE 2 2 4 07/04-21 52 26 6 56 49 SE 2 2 4 07/04-22 52 26 6 54 52 SSE 2 2 4 07/04-23 52 26 6 53 54 S 2 2 4 07/05-00 40 0 0 53 54 S 2 2 1 07/05-01 40 0 0 53 54 S 2 2 1 07/05-02 40 0 0 52 56 SSW 3 3 1 07/05-03 40 0 0 51 58 SW 3 3 1 07/05-04 40 0 0 49 63 SW 5 5 1 07/05-05 40 0 0 48 65 WSW 6 6 1 07/05-06 59 4 1 49 63 WSW 6 6 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130702.BIGME.01/BOU